Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Month: April 2013

TK’s Austin / South Central Texas Forecast

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Updated 845am CDT.. Monday / 1 April 2013

TODAY…. Patchy morning low clouds and fog.. otherwise mostly sunny and unseasonably warm. High 82 to 86. Easterly wind 5 to 12 mph becoming south southeasterly in the afternoon.

TONIGHT…. A cloudy sky with a 30% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Low 61 to 65. South southeasterly wind 8 to 18 mph.

TUESDAY…. Cloudy with a 50% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. A little cooler. High 73 to 77. Southerly wind 8 to 18 mph becoming more westerly late in the day. Rainfall.. where it occurs.. will average 1/4  inch.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. A cloudy sky and cooler with a 60% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Low 55 to 59. West northwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph. Rainfall will average 1/4 inch.

WEDNESDAY…. Cloudy and cooler with a 70% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. High 63 to 67. Northwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph. Rainfall will average 1/2 to 3/4  inch.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with a 30% chance of rain through midnight with decreasing clouds after midnight. Low 47 to 51. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph. Rainfall.. where it occurs.. will average 1/4 inch.

THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 66 to 70. Northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 47 to 51. East northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY…. Mostly sunny and warmer. Highs 73 to 77. Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 49 to 53. Light southeasterly wind.

SATURDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 77 to 81. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 53 to 57. Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 79 to 83. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 8 April 2013  through Sunday / 14 April 2013…
Temperature… Slightly Above Average
Precipitation… Slightly Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (1 April)…………………………. 7:20 am
Sunset this evening (1 April)………………………….. 7:50 pm
Sunrise Tuesday (2 April)………………………………. 7:19 am
Sunset Tuesday (2 April)……………………………….. 7:51 pm

TK’s Weather Discussion

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Updated 845am CDT Monday / 1 April 2013

Well Above Average Temperatures Today …
Rain Chances Increase Tonight through Mid Week …
Beneficial Rainfall Expected Tomorrow Through Mid Week with Cooler Temperatures …

On this Monday… a weak stationary front extends westward from central Mississippi and northern Louisiana into east and south central Texas into the southwestern part of Texas. Another.. stronger.. cold front extends westward from the Tennessee Valley region westward through Arkansas and extreme northern Oklahoma and into a low pressure area over southeastern Colorado. Given this surface pressure pattern, surface winds are light northerly or light and variable across our area of Texas.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere, a low pressure area over the northeastern USA with another over northwestern Nevada.  As a result of this upper air wind flow, our upper level winds are light to moderate west northwesterly with winds over Austin at about 18,500 feet blowing about 30 to 40 mph.

As we begin the new week.. the weak front that moved through the area with a few rain showers and thunderstorms yesterday afternoon.. has now started shifting northward as a warm front as yet another upper air low pressure storm system approaches from the west.

By later tonight into Tuesday and Tuesday night, the upper air disturbance will move slowly across the area as another strong surface cold front moves southeastward across the area. Rain showers and thunderstorms will become widespread across the area by tomorrow night into Wednesday as the cold front passes through. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible as the system passes the area and rain chances decrease late Wednesday into Wednesday night.

At this point, the atmosphere does not seem to support a significant outbreak of severe thunderstorms with this passing system but, as mentioned above, a beneficial rainfall event is expected locally.

A dry and stable weather pattern develops with surface high pressure prevailing late Thursday and Friday and through next weekend with plenty of sunshine and warmer temperatures expected.

Have a good Monday night and Tuesday…
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

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