Weather Discussion

by troyk | on Sep 19, 2017 | Comments Off

Updated 915am CT – Tuesday / 19 September 2017

.. A Mostly Dry Stable Weather Pattern Continues ..

On the Weather Map…
On the surface map… a surface high pressure is over the eastern Gulf of Mexico with a trough, or line, of low pressure extends southward from eastern Colorado into west Texas and eastern New Mexico. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds across south central Texas are south southeasterly.

Upper air map… a broad area of low pressure extends southward from British Columbia southward into the western third of the USA. As a result of this upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our area are westerly at 40 to 50 mph.

What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…

A dry stable weather pattern with slightly above average afternoon high temperatures continuing to hold through Thursday.

By Thursday, as our atmosphere becomes a little more unstable, cloudiness will increase a bit with slim rain chances with afternoon high temperatures closer to seasonal levels. At this point, any rainfall, where it occurs over our area on Thursday, would average 1/4 inch or less.

After a dry Friday and weekend, slim rain chances return for the early and mid part of next week with a partly cloudy sky continuing. Afternoon high temperatures will remain near seasonal averages.

Have a good Tuesday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

Updated 845am CT.. Tuesday / 19 September 2017

TODAY…. Brief morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 93. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 73. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Brief morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 93. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 73. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY…. Brief morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with widely scattered afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. The chance of rain is 20%; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 92. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 73. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY…. Brief morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 92. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 72. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY…. Brief morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 91. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 71. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY…. Brief morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with widely scattered afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. The chance of rain is 20%; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 90. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 71. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY…. Brief morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with widely scattered afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. The chance of rain is 20%; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 90. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 26 September 2017 through Monday / 02 October 2017…
Temperature… Near to Slightly Above Average
Precipitation… Near to Slightly Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (19 September)…………………………………… 7:18 am
Sunset this evening (19 September)……………………………………. 7:31 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (20 September)………………………………………. 7:18 am
Sunset tomorrow (20 September)……………………………………….. 7:30 pm

by troyk | on Sep 18, 2017 | Comments Off

Updated 915am CT – Monday / 18 September 2017

.. A Mostly Dry Stable Weather Pattern Continues for Another Week ..

On the Weather Map…
On the surface map… a cold front extends southwestward from central Kentucky and western Tennessee where it turns into a stationary front and continues into central and southern Arkansas and through north Texas westward into the Texas south plains around Lubbock. A surface high pressure is over southwestern Colorado and northern New Mexico. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds across south central Texas are light southerly.

Upper air map… a broad area of low pressure extends southward from western Canada into the northwestern USA. Upper level high pressure area is over northern Mexico northeastward over Texas. As a result of this upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our area are west southwesterly at 40 mph.

What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…

Today’s guidance (and, in fact, Doppler weather coverage) is a little more suggestive of a few rain showers and thunderstorms to our east today. However, I will hold off on rain chances locally along the IH35 corridor with most of rain expected further to the east. An otherwise dry stable weather pattern with slightly above average afternoon high temperatures continuing to hold through Thursday.

By late week through the weekend, as our atmosphere becomes a little more unstable, cloudiness will increase a bit with slightly better rain chances with afternoon high temperatures closer to seasonal levels. At this point, any rainfall, where it occurs over our area, would average 1/4 inch or less.

Have a good Monday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

Updated 845am CT.. Monday / 18 September 2017

TODAY…. Brief morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 93. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 73. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY…. Brief morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 93. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 73. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Brief morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 93. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 73. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY…. Brief morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with widely scattered afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. The chance of rain is 20%; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 92. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 73. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY…. Brief morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with widely scattered afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. The chance of rain is 20%; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 92. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 72. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY…. Brief morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with widely scattered afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. The chance of rain is 20%; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 91. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 71. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY…. Brief morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with widely scattered afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. The chance of rain is 20%; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 90. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 25 September 2017 through Sunday / 01 October 2017…
Temperature… Slightly Above Average
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (18 September)…………………………………… 7:17 am
Sunset this evening (18 September)……………………………………. 7:32 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (19 September)………………………………………. 7:18 am
Sunset tomorrow (19 September)……………………………………….. 7:31 pm

by troyk | on Sep 15, 2017 | Comments Off

Updated 915am CT – Friday / 15 September 2017

.. A Dry Stable Weather Pattern Continues ..

On the Weather Map…
On the surface map… surface high pressure continues over the eastern USA. A trough.. or line.. of surface low pressure extends southward from eastern Colorado and western Kansas into eastern New Mexico and western Texas. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds across south central Texas are light south southeasterly.

Upper air map… a high pressure area is over the southwestern USA, northern Mexico and south and western Texas. As a result of this upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our area are northwesterly at 30 to 40mph.

What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…

We’ll see the dry stable weather pattern continue to hold through the remainder of the week and through the upcoming weekend and even into next week with temperatures around seasonal levels. Rain chances, showing up in some of the guidance for areas east of Austin and the IH35 corridor early next week and again for the latter part of next week, appears too slim/uncertain to be included in my forecast.

Have a good Friday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

Updated 845am CT.. Friday / 15 September 2017

TODAY…. Brief morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 93. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 71. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY…. Brief morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 92. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 71. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY…. Brief morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 92. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 72. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY…. Brief morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 92. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 73. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY…. Brief morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 92. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 73. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Brief morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 92. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 73. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY…. Brief morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 92. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Friday / 22 September 2017 through Thursday / 28 September 2017…
Temperature… Above Average
Precipitation… Near Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (15 September)…………………………………… 7:16 am
Sunset this evening (15 September)……………………………………. 7:36 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (16 September)………………………………………. 7:16 am
Sunset tomorrow (16 September)……………………………………….. 7:35 pm

by troyk | on Sep 14, 2017 | Comments Off

Updated 915am CT – Thursday / 14 September 2017

.. A Dry Stable Weather Pattern Continues ..

On the Weather Map…
On the surface map… surface high pressure continues over the Atlantic Ocean and the southeastern USA. A trough.. or line.. of surface low pressure extends southward from eastern Colorado and western Kansas into eastern New Mexico and western Texas. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds across south central Texas are light south southeasterly.

Upper air map… a high pressure area is over the southwestern USA and northern Mexico. An upper level low is associated with the remnants of tropical cyclone Irma over northern Kentucky. As a result of this upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our area are light north northwesterly.

What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…

We’ll see the dry stable weather pattern continue to hold through the remainder of the week and through the upcoming weekend and even into next week with temperatures around seasonal levels.

Have a good Thursday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

Updated 845am CT.. Thursday / 14 September 2017

TODAY…. Mostly sunny. High 95. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 70. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 93. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 71. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 92. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 71. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 92. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 72. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 92. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 73. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 92. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 73. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 92. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thursday / 21 September 2017 through Wednesday / 27 September 2017…
Temperature… Above Average
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (14 September)…………………………………… 7:15 am
Sunset this evening (14 September)……………………………………. 7:38 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (15 September)………………………………………. 7:16 am
Sunset tomorrow (15 September)……………………………………….. 7:36 pm

by troyk | on Sep 13, 2017 | Comments Off

Updated 915am CT – Wednesday / 13 September 2017

.. A Dry Stable Weather Pattern Continues ..

On the Weather Map…
On the surface map… surface high pressure continues over the Atlantic Ocean and the southeastern USA. A low pressure area, the remnants of Irma, is located over southern Illinois. A weak trough.. or line.. of surface low pressure extends southward from eastern Colorado and western Kansas into eastern New Mexico. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds across south central Texas are light and variable.

Upper air map… a high pressure area is over the southwestern USA and northern Mexico. An upper level low is associated with the remnants of tropical cyclone Irma over northern Kentucky. As a result of this upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our area are light north northwesterly.

What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…

We’ll see a dry stable weather pattern continue to hold through the new week and through the upcoming weekend with temperatures around seasonal levels.

Have a good Wednesday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

Updated 845am CT.. Wednesday / 13 September 2017

TODAY…. Mostly sunny and warmer. High 93. Light wind.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 68. Light southeasterly wind.

THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 95. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 70. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 92. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 71. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 92. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 71. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 92. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 72. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 92. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 72. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 92. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 20 September 2017 through Tuesday / 26 September 2017…
Temperature… Above Average
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (13 September)…………………………………… 7:14 am
Sunset this evening (13 September)……………………………………. 7:38 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (14 September)………………………………………. 7:15 am
Sunset tomorrow (14 September)……………………………………….. 7:38 pm