Weather Discussion

by troyk | on Jul 17, 2018 | Comments Off

Updated 915am CT – Tuesday / 17 July 2018

… No Changes as the Summer Heat Builds …
… Saharan Dust Comes and Goes …

On the Weather Map…

On the surface map… surface high pressure is located to our east over the southeastern USA with another high pressure area over northwestern New Mexico and southwestern Colorado. Between the two high pressure areas, a trough, or line, of surface low pressure extends southward from a surface low over southeastern Colorado into New Mexico and far west Texas. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds over south central Texas are south southwesterly.

On the upper air map… a broad ridge, or line, of upper air high pressure, acting like a “lid” on the atmosphere, extends across the southern USA. As a result of this upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are easterly less than 20 mph.

What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…

Upper level high pressure will be holding strong overhead. This keeps the “lid” on the atmosphere which means rain chances are out of the forecast and temperatures remain above to well above average seasonal averages over the next seven days.

Saharan dust continues to create hazy skies over our area with the dust decreasing a bit today into tonight with a new batch moving into the area by Friday through the weekend into early next week.

Have a good Tuesday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

Follow me:
@troykimmelwx (Twitter)
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel (Facebook)

Updated 845am CT… Tuesday / 17 July 2018

TODAY…. A few morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. Saharan dust will be present. High 101. South southwesterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear early with a few lower clouds after midnight. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. A few morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny and unseasonably warm. Saharan dust will be present. High 102. South southwesterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with a few lower clouds after midnight. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY…. A few morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. Saharan dust will be present. High 103. South southwesterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with a few lower clouds after midnight. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY…. A few morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. Saharan dust will be present. High 104. South southwesterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with a few lower clouds after midnight. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY…. A few morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. Saharan dust will be present. High 104. South southwesterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with a few lower clouds after midnight. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. A few morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. Saharan dust will be present. High 104. South southwesterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with a few lower clouds after midnight. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY…. A few morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. Saharan dust will be present. High 104. South southwesterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 24 July 2018 through Monday / 30 July 2018…
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (17Jul)………………………………………… 6:41 am
Sunset this evening (17Jul)………………………………………….. 8:33 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (18Jul)…………………………………………….. 6:41 am
Sunset tomorrow (18Jul)……………………………………………… 8:33 pm

by troyk | on Jul 16, 2018 | Comments Off

Updated 915am CT – Monday / 16 July 2018

… No Changes as the Summer Heat Builds …

On the Weather Map…

On the surface map… surface high pressure is located to our east over the Appalachians with a cold front extending southwest from the Great Lakes into southwestern Missouri and southeastern Kansas into a weak surface low over northern Oklahoma where the front becomes stationary westward through Oklahoma and the Texas panhandle into northern New Mexico and the four corners region. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds over south central Texas are southerly.

On the upper air map… a broad ridge, or line, of upper air high pressure, acting like a “lid” on the atmosphere, extends across the southern USA. As a result of this upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are southeasterly around 35 mph.

What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…

Although some rain shower and thunderstorm could be seen in areas to our distant northwest, north and southeast over the next few days, overall the next seven days, I expect that upper level high pressure will be holding strong overhead. This establishes more of a “lid” on the atmosphere which means rain chances are out of the forecast and temperatures remain above to well above average seasonal averages.

Have a good Monday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

Follow me:
@troykimmelwx (Twitter)
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel (Facebook)

Updated 845am CT… Monday / 16 July 2018

TODAY…. A few morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. Saharan dust will be present. High 99. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear early with a few lower clouds after midnight. Low 75. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY…. A few morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. Saharan dust will be present. High 101. South southwesterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with a few lower clouds after midnight. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. A few morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny and unseasonably warm. High 103. South southwesterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with a few lower clouds after midnight. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY…. A few morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 104. South southwesterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with a few lower clouds after midnight. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY…. A few morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 104. South southwesterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with a few lower clouds after midnight. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY…. A few morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 104. South southwesterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with a few lower clouds after midnight. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. A few morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 104. South southwesterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 23 July 2018 through Sunday / 29 July 2018…
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (16Jul)………………………………………… 6:40 am
Sunset this evening (16Jul)………………………………………….. 8:34 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (17Jul)…………………………………………….. 6:41 am
Sunset tomorrow (17Jul)……………………………………………… 8:33 pm

by troyk | on Jul 13, 2018 | Comments Off

Updated 915am CT – Thursday / 12 July 2018

… Drier Weather Pattern for the Next Seven Days as Temperatures Warm …

On the Weather Map…

On the surface map… surface high pressure is located to our east over the southeastern USA and the Tennessee Valley. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds over south central Texas are light south southeasterly.

On the upper air map… a broad ridge, or line, of upper air high pressure, acting like a “lid” on the atmosphere, extends eastward from the Rockies into the Ohio and Tennessee valley region. As a result of the upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are easterly between 10 to 15 mph.

What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…

Over the next seven days, upper level high pressure area will be strengthening overhead. This establishes more of a “lid” on the atmosphere which means rain chances drop from the forecast and temperatures climb back to near or slightly above seasonal averages.

Have a good Wednesday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

Follow me:
@troykimmelwx (Twitter)
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel (Facebook)

Updated 845am CT… Thursday / 12 July 2018

TODAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; where rain occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 96. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy early with some lower clouds after midnight. Low 75. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 97. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with some lower clouds after midnight. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 97. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with some lower clouds after midnight. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 97. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with some lower clouds after midnight. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 97. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with some lower clouds after midnight. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 97. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with some lower clouds after midnight. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 97. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thursday / 19 July 2018 through Wednesday / 25 July 2018…
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (12Jul)………………………………………… 6:38 am
Sunset this evening (12Jul)………………………………………….. 8:35 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (13Jul)…………………………………………….. 6:39 am
Sunset tomorrow (13Jul)……………………………………………… 8:35 pm

by troyk | on Jul 12, 2018 | Comments Off

Updated 915am CT – Wednesday / 11 July 2018

… Drier Weather Pattern for the Next Seven Days as Temperatures Warm …

On the Weather Map…

On the surface map… surface high pressure is located to our east over the southeastern USA and the Tennessee Valley. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds over south central Texas are light south southeasterly.

On the upper air map… a broad ridge, or line, of upper air high pressure, acting like a “lid” on the atmosphere, extends eastward from the Rockies into the Ohio and Tennessee valley region. As a result of the upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are easterly between 10 to 15 mph.

What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…

Over the next seven days, upper level high pressure area will be strengthening overhead. This establishes more of a “lid” on the atmosphere which means rain chances drop from the forecast and temperatures climb back to near or slightly above seasonal averages.

Have a good Wednesday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

Follow me:
@troykimmelwx (Twitter)
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel (Facebook)

Updated 845am CT… Wednesday / 11 July 2018

TODAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 95. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear early with some lower clouds after midnight. Low 75. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; where rain occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 96. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early with some lower clouds after midnight. Low 75. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 97. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with some lower clouds after midnight. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 97. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with some lower clouds after midnight. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 97. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with some lower clouds after midnight. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 97. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with some lower clouds after midnight. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 97. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 18 July 2018 through Tuesday / 24 July 2018…
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (11Jul)………………………………………… 6:37 am
Sunset this evening (11Jul)………………………………………….. 8:35 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (12Jul)…………………………………………….. 6:38 am
Sunset tomorrow (12Jul)……………………………………………… 8:35 pm

by troyk | on Jul 10, 2018 | Comments Off

Updated 915am CT – Tuesday / 10 July 2018

… Drier Weather Pattern for the Next Seven Days as Temperatures Warm …

On the Weather Map…

On the surface map… surface high pressure is located to our east over the southeastern USA and the Tennessee Valley. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds over south central Texas are light south southeasterly.

On the upper air map… a broad ridge, or line, of upper air high pressure, acting like a “lid” on the atmosphere, extends eastward from the Rockies into the Ohio and Tennessee valley region. As a result of the upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are easterly between 10 to 15 mph.

What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…

A drier weather pattern is developing locally with only very slim rain and thunderstorm chances today. Any rainfall that occurs locally today over our area will average 1/10th inch or less.

Beyond today and through the balance of the seven day forecast period, upper level high pressure area will be strengthening overhead. This establishes more of a “lid” on the atmosphere which means rain chances drop from the forecast and temperatures climb back to near or slightly above seasonal averages.

Have a good Tuesday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

Follow me:
@troykimmelwx (Twitter)
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel (Facebook)

Updated 845am CT… Tuesday / 10 July 2018

TODAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 94. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 75. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 95. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with some lower clouds after midnight. Low 75. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; where rain occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 96. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early with some lower clouds after midnight. Low 75. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 97. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with some lower clouds after midnight. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 97. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with some lower clouds after midnight. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 97. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with some lower clouds after midnight. Low 76. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 97. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 17 July 2018 through Monday / 23 July 2018…
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (10Jul)………………………………………… 6:37 am
Sunset this evening (10Jul)………………………………………….. 8:36 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (11Jul)…………………………………………….. 6:37 am
Sunset tomorrow (11Jul)……………………………………………… 8:35 pm