Special Briefings

by troyk | on Apr 16, 2018 | Comments Off

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This is where I place weather updates during periods of severe and/or inclement weather.

No severe and/or inclement weather is forecast over the few days.

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by troyk | on Apr 13, 2018 | Comments Off

Austin / Travis County and South Central Texas Weather Statement #1
Prepared by UT University/Incident Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
345pm CT – Friday / 13 April 2018

As we go into our weekend, two weather related risks that we face here on the IH35 corridor… I will continue to monitor both of these risks…

(1) .. Marginal Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Between 6pm and 12 Midnight Tonight ..
2018.0413.2000z.fema06_swody1
Courtesy: NWS/Storm Prediction Center

As a strong upper level low pressure areas passes north of the area by tonight and an associated surface cold front moves across the IH35 corridor by midnight tonight, high resolution model guidance suggests that a few strong thunderstorms may develop just to our west or overhead between 6 and 8pm tonight and progress east southeast across the area.
Larger hail and damaging straight line thunderstorm winds are the biggest threat along with a lesser risk of tornadoes. The severe weather risk will be greatest in areas to the north, northeast and east of the Austin area proper. Dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning will accompany any thunderstorms that develop.

Any outdoor activities this evening into tonight should be weather aware and be ready to seek safe shelter if thunderstorms develop.

—-

(2) .. A Wildfire Risk for Tomorrow into Tomorrow Night ..
.. A Fire Weather Watch Has Been Issued for the IH35 Corridor and Westward ..

Please pay close attention to the latest information tomorrow into tomorrow night from local officials reference this wildfire risk.

Authority: NWS Austin/San Antonio

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
308 PM CDT Fri Apr 13 2018

...A Fire Weather Watch has been issued for areas west of the
Interstate 35 corridor due to very low relative humidities and
strong north winds Saturday morning through Saturday evening...

.A dry-line is currently moving through Val Verde and Edwards counties
and will continue east through the remainder of the afternoon and 
evening. Gusty west and northwest winds and very low relative 
humidity values will continue to develop behind it this afternoon and
evening. Wind gusts around 30 mph and RH values bottoming out around
5 to 15 percent will develop through the late afternoon. When 
combined with dry fuels this result in critical fire weather 
conditions and a Red Flag Warning remains in effect for Val Verde, 
Kinney, and Edwards counties. 

A cold front is forecast to move through late tonight. Strong north 
winds will develop behind the front on Saturday, with drier air 
filtering into the rest of the region. Wind gusts to around 30 mph 
with minimum RH values in the teens to 20s will result in elevated to
near critical fire weather conditions on Saturday. A Fire Weather 
Watch is in effect for areas near and west of I-35 and could be
upgraded to a Red Flag Warning tomorrow.

Dry and warmer conditions for Monday and Tuesday, and a breezy 
southerly wind could lead to elevated fire weather conditions in some
areas.

TXZ173-191-192-206-141100-
/O.EXA.KEWX.FW.A.0004.180414T1600Z-180415T0000Z/
Williamson-Hays-Travis-Comal-
308 PM CDT Fri Apr 13 2018

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING FOR AREAS NEAR AND WEST OF THE INTERSTATE 35 
CORRIDOR...

The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a
Fire Weather Watch, which is in effect from Saturday morning
through Saturday evening. 

* AFFECTED AREA...All locations west of the Interstate 35 
  corridor. 

* WIND...North winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* HUMIDITY...15 to 25 percent.

* IMPACTS...any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

by troyk | on Apr 09, 2018 | Comments Off

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This is where I place special updates during periods of severe and/or inclement weather.

There is no threat of severe and/or inclement weather at this time.

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by troyk | on Apr 07, 2018 | Comments Off

Austin / Travis County and South Central Texas Weather Update #3 – FINAL UPDATE
Prepared by UT University/Incident Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
110am CT – Saturday / 07 April 2018

The Cold Front Has Moved Through The Area…
Thunderstorm Risk Quickly Decreasing over the IH35 Corridor Counties

The only storm report passed along by NWS/Austin-San Antonio so far..

1149 PM     HAIL             2 WSW HUTTO             30.54N 97.58W
04/06/2018  E1.00 INCH       WILLIAMSON         TX   PUBLIC           

            QUARTER HAIL REPORTED NEAR THE INTERSECTION 
            OF HIGHWAY 79 AND 130.

I have also heard several Austin Fire Department scanner dispatches to possible what I believe are residential lightning strikes as well.

This is my final update on this weather event… have a good weekend.

tk

by troyk | on Apr 07, 2018 | Comments Off

Austin / Travis County and South Central Texas Weather Update #2
Prepared by UT University/Incident Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
1135pm CT – Friday / 06 April 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Warning Issued for Parts of Williamson and Travis Counties..
Cold front quickly approaching the Austin Area…

2018.0407.0434z.SVR.DaJ1AfkXcAABWut