Austin Area Forecast

by troyk | on Dec 13, 2017 | Comments Off

Updated 915am CT – Wednesday / 13 December 2017

… Lots of Sunshine Over the Next Few Days …
… Some Questions as Clouds Increase Over the Weekend …

On the Weather Map…
On the surface map… a cold front is located from central and south Florida westward across the Gulf of Mexico into northeastern Mexico south of Brownsville. Surface high pressure.. northwest of the front.. extends southeast from the Pacific northwest into the intermountain west and southern Rockies into Texas. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds across south central Texas are light.

On the upper air map… a broad trough, or line, of upper level low pressure covers the eastern half of the USA with the trough extending southward from Hudson Bay down into the southeastern USA and eastern seaboard. An upper level low pressure disturbance is over northwestern Mexico. As a result of this upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our area are westerly around 70 mph.

What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…

It looks like lots of sunshine over the next day or so.

Some questions have arisen about the weekend weather as the upper level low out west tracks more into Texas with model guidance now increasing the cloud cover with a pretty good increase in mid and upper level moisture and even corresponding rain chances. At this point, I’ll increase clouds but will hold off on rain chances until I see another atmospheric model run or two.

It looks like another cold front late Sunday will result in clearing and a little cooler temperatures by early next week.

Have a good Wednesday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

Updated 845am CT.. Wednesday / 13 December 2017

TODAY…. Mostly sunny. High 66. Light west southwest wind becoming southwesterly 5 to 10 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear with a cold frontal passage late. Low 41. Southwesterly wind becoming northerly 5 to 12 mph.

THURSDAY…. Sunshine. High 65. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 38. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY…. Sunshine. High 63. North northwesterly wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southwesterly in the afternoon.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Becoming partly cloudy. Low 40. South southwesterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 63. Southwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 48. Light southerly wind.

SUNDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 67. South southwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy as a weak cold front passes. Low 45. Southwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph becoming northerly late.

MONDAY…. Sunshine. High 66. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 38. Light northeasterly wind.

TUESDAY…. Sunshine. High 68. Northeasterly wind becoming more easterly 5 to 12 mph by afternoon.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 20 December 2017 through Tuesday / 26 December 2017…
Temperature… Above Average
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (13 December)………………………………. 7:19 am
Sunset this evening (13 December)………………………………… 5:32 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (14 December)…………………………………… 7:19 am
Sunset tomorrow (14 December)……………………………………. 5:32 pm

by troyk | on Dec 12, 2017 | Comments Off

Updated 915am CT – Tuesday / 12 December 2017

… Lots of Sunshine With A Dry Weather Pattern Over Next Seven Days …
… Another Dry Cold Frontal Passage Again Thursday …

On the Weather Map…
On the surface map… another weak cold front has passed overhead of the area in the overnight hours with the southeastward moving cold front located from southern Alabama and Mississippi into southern Louisiana and across the Texas coastal plains and into northeastern Mexico southwest of Del Rio. Surface high pressure extends southeast from the Pacific northwest into the intermountain west and southern Rockies into Texas. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds across south central Texas are northerly.

On the upper air map… a broad trough, or line, of upper level low pressure covers the eastern half of the USA with the trough extending southward from Hudson Bay down into the southeastern USA. An upper level high pressure is over the western USA. An weakening upper level low pressure disturbance is over central part of the Baja Peninsula. As a result of this upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our area are westerly 80 to 90 mph.

What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…

It looks like lots of sunshine over the coming days and through the next seven day period.

After this morning’s dry cold frontal passage, I expect another one again late tomorrow afternoon. Temperatures, in the wake of these fronts, will be back closer to seasonal averages today continuing through the balance of the seven day forecast period.

With limited low level moisture return, I do not expect precipitation chances through the balance of the seven day forecast period.

Have a good Tuesday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

Updated 845am CT.. Tuesday / 12 December 2017

TODAY…. Sunshine and cooler. High 62. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

TONIGHT…. Clear. Low 35. Northerly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light late.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 66. Light west southwest wind becoming southwesterly 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear with a cold frontal passage late. Low 41. Southwesterly wind becoming northerly 5 to 12 mph.

THURSDAY…. Sunshine. High 65. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 38. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY…. Sunshine. High 63. North northwesterly wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southwesterly in the afternoon.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 39. South southwesterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 69. Southwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 48. Light southerly wind.

SUNDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 70. South southwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy as a weak cold front passes. Low 45. Southwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph becoming northerly late.

MONDAY…. Sunshine. High 67. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 19 December 2017 through Monday / 25 December 2017…
Temperature… Above Average
Precipitation… Slightly Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (12 December)………………………………. 7:19 am
Sunset this evening (12 December)………………………………… 5:32 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (13 December)…………………………………… 7:19 am
Sunset tomorrow (13 December)……………………………………. 5:32 pm

by troyk | on Dec 11, 2017 | Comments Off

Updated 915am CT – Monday / 11 December 2017

… Lots of Sunshine With A Dry Weather Pattern Over Next Seven Days …
… Dry Cold Frontal Passages Due Overnight Tonight and Again Thursday …

On the Weather Map…
On the surface map… surface high pressure extends southeast from the Pacific northwest into the intermountain west and southern Rockies into Texas. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds across south central Texas are light westerly.

On the upper air map… a broad trough, or line, of upper level low pressure covers the eastern half of the USA with an upper level high pressure over eastern Washington and Oregon and Idaho south into northern Arizona and southern Nevada. An upper level low pressure disturbance is off the west coast of the central part of the Baja Peninsula. As a result of this upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our area are westerly 75 to 85 mph.

What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…

It looks like lots of sunshine over the coming days and through the next seven day period.

Dry cold frontal passages are expected after midnight tonight and again during the day on Thursday. Above average temperatures are expected today with temperatures back closer to seasonal averages tonight and tomorrow and continuing through the balance of the seven day forecast period.

With limited low level moisture return, I do not expect precipitation chances through the balance of the seven day forecast period.

Have a good Monday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

Updated 845am CT.. Monday / 11 December 2017

TODAY…. Mostly sunny. High 75. Westerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear with a cold front passing after midnight. Low 41. South southwesterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming northerly 8 to 15 mph after midnight.

TUESDAY…. Sunshine and cooler. High 62. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 35. Northerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 65. North northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph becoming easterly by afternoon.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 42. Light southwesterly wind.

THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny with a cold front passing by midday. High 67. Light southwesterly wind shifting north northwesterly 5 to 12 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 38. North northwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY…. Sunshine. High 63. North northwesterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 39. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 67. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 46. Light easterly wind.

SUNDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 72. East southeasterly wind early becoming southeasterly 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 18 December 2017 through Sunday / 24 December 2017…
Temperature… Above Average
Precipitation… Slightly Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (11 December)………………………………. 7:17 am
Sunset this evening (11 December)………………………………… 5:31 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (12 December)…………………………………… 7:19 am
Sunset tomorrow (12 December)……………………………………. 5:32 pm

by troyk | on Dec 08, 2017 | Comments Off

Updated 915am CT – Friday / 08 December 2017

Record Daily Snowfall in the Austin Area Yesterday (Th/07Dec2017):

Austin Bergstrom International Airport…. 1.3″
(Old Daily Record… Trace on 07 December 2013)

Austin Camp Mabry……………….. 0.4″
(Old Daily Record… Snow Never Previously Reported on Any 07 December)

Austin Great Hills (NW Austin)………. 0.4″

… Sunshine with Seasonal Temperatures Through the Weekend …
… A Little Warmer Temperatures …

On the Weather Map…
On the surface map… a strong cold front is draped over the Gulf of Mexico from central Florida southwestward into the southwest Gulf of Mexico. Surface high pressure, to the north of the cold front, extends from the intermountain west southeastward into Texas. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds across south central Texas are light northwesterly.

On the upper air map… a deep broad trough, or line, of upper level low pressure covers most of the USA and extends southwestward from Hudson Bay into Texas and then into northeastern Mexico. Upper level high pressure is oriented north-south over the west coast of the USA. As a result of this upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our area are southwesterly 100 to 110 mph.

What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…

In the wake of the snow producing upper level low pressure trough, it looks like lots of sunshine and warmer temperatures over the coming days and even into the early and mid part of next week.

Have a good Friday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

Updated 845am CT.. Friday / 08 December 2017

TODAY…. A few clouds early.. otherwise sunshine. High 54. Northwesterly wind becoming more west northwesterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TONIGHT…. Clear. Low 34. Southwesterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming west northwesterly late.

SATURDAY…. Sunshine. High 65. Northwesterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT …. Clear. Low 34. Light northerly wind.

SUNDAY…. Sunshine. High 66. Northwesterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light south southwesterly in the afternoon.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 38. Light southerly wind becoming westerly late.

MONDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 71. Westerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. A few clouds. Low 44. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming northerly late.

TUESDAY…. Mostly sunny and a little cooler. High 65. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 38. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 68. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph becoming easterly by afternoon.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 42. Light east southeasterly wind.

THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 70. Light southeasterly wind.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Friday / 15 December 2017 through Thursday / 21 December 2017…
Temperature… Above Average
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (08 December)………………………………. 7:15 am
Sunset this evening (08 December)………………………………… 5:31 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (09 December)…………………………………… 7:16 am
Sunset tomorrow (09 December)……………………………………. 5:31 pm

by troyk | on Dec 07, 2017 | Comments Off

Updated 915am CT – Thursday / 07 December 2017

… Clouds and Precipitation Linger Into Tonight …
… Sunshine with Seasonal Temperatures Tomorrow through the Weekend …

On the Weather Map…
On the surface map… a strong cold front is moving southeastward over the central Gulf of Mexico with a secondary cold front over the Red River country of north Texas. Surface high pressure, to the north of the secondary cold front, is over South Dakota and Nebraska. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds across south central Texas are north northeasterly.

On the upper air map… a deep broad trough, or line, of upper level low pressure overs the USA and its axis extends southwestward from Hudson Bay into Arizona into northwestern Mexico. Upper level high pressure is oriented north-south over the west coast of the USA. As a result of this upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our area are southwesterly 90 to 95 mph.

What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…

The upper air low pressure trough, to our west, is continuing to produce an overrunning weather pattern resulting in chilly and wet conditions over the area with temperatures well below seasonal averages.

This rain will persist into tonight before the upper level low pressure disturbance moves east of the area and our skies clear by morning tomorrow through the weekend well into next week. We’ll see warming temperatures as a result of the sunshine.

Have a good Thursday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

Updated 845am CT.. Thursday / 07 December 2017

TODAY…. Mostly cloudy with intermittent rain. A 50% chance of precipitation; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 47. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TONIGHT…. A few sprinkles early. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average trace amounts. Decreasing clouds by midnight becoming partly cloudy and colder. A light freeze possible in outlying and low lying areas. Low 33. Northerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY…. A few clouds early.. otherwise sunshine. High 57. West northwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 35. Light northerly wind.

SATURDAY…. Sunshine. High 65. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT …. Clear. Low 37. Light northeasterly wind.

SUNDAY…. Sunshine. High 67. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light in the afternoon.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 40. Light east southeasterly wind.

MONDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 69. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. A few clouds. Low 44. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 70. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 42. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 69. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 13 December 2017 through Tuesday / 19 December 2017…
Temperature… Above Average
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (07 December)………………………………. 7:15 am
Sunset this evening (07 December)………………………………… 5:30 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (08 December)…………………………………… 7:16 am
Sunset tomorrow (08 December)……………………………………. 5:30 pm