Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

The Latest Forecast for Austin/Travis County

In preparation for moving back into my home/office (after being displaced in the
February winter storm), I will not be updating my forecast/audio weather thoughts
here over the next couple of weeks. In absence of my forecast, here is a LINK to the
latest NWS/Austin-San Antonio for Austin and Travis County.

We’ll talk again soon,
Troy

 

 

 

Rain Chances Reappear Again by the Weekend and Then Again By Middle/Latter Part of Next Week (Th/27May2021)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Thursday / 27 May 2021

Not Available Today…

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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@troykimmelwx

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Hazards Expected Today …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) A slightly drier and more stable weather pattern will continue into tomorrow.

(2) A more unstable forecast situation develops tomorrow night into Saturday and continues through early Sunday as an upper level low pressure disturbance is forecast to move east southeastward across the area with a southeastward moving cold front pulling up stationary overhead late Friday night into the day Saturday with rain chances returned to the forecast.

(3) Once the stationary front washes out overhead late Saturday into Saturday night, it will transition to a warm front and shift back northeastward Sunday into Memorial Day with a drier and more stable weather pattern once again returning Saturday night into Sunday and early Monday.

(4) Guidance now strongly suggests a turn back to more unstable conditions with more clouds and a better chance of rain and thunderstorms and an overall wet period of weather for the mid into latter part of next week.

South central Texas average forecast rainfall amounts over the next seven days, as predicted by the NWS/Weather Prediction Center, have continued to trend upward and is estimated at 1.50″ but this may continue to edge up a little bit more for the middle and latter part of next week.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
Medium to High confidence

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Troy Kimmel’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Thursday / 27 May 2021

TODAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 89. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy early with low clouds late. Low 72. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 89. Southerly wind 10 to 18 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Becoming cloudy early with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms after 7pm with an associated lightning threat. A 50% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″. Low 71. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms morning into midday with an associated lightning threat. Rain chances diminishing in the afternoon. A 50% chance of rain in the morning decreasing to less than 20% by afternoon; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″. High 84. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph becoming more variable in the afternoon.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Becoming partly cloudy. Low 69. Light and variable winds early becoming south southeasterly 4 to 8 mph after midnight.

SUNDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy. High 86. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early then low clouds late. Low 70. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY /MEMORIAL DAY/ …. Morning low clouds then becoming partly cloudy. High 87. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Becoming mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms after 8pm with an associated lightning threat. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″ or less. Low 70. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associate lightning threat. A 50% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″. High 87. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associate lightning threat. A 50% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″. Low 71. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Cloudy with scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associate lightning threat. Periods of heavier rain possible. A 60% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.50″. High 83. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thursday / 03 June 2021 through Wednesday / 09 June 2021…
Temperatures… Below Average
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (27 May)………………………………………… 6:31 am
Sunset this evening (27 May)………………………………………….. 8:25 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (28 May)…………………………………………….. 6:31 am
Sunset tomorrow (28 May)……………………………………………… 8:26 pm

PLEASE SEE…. weather.utexas.edu .. for my latest updates until further notice…