Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

A Drier Weather Pattern to Start the Week Before Rain Chances Reappear Mid Week; A Drier Weather Pattern Returns Again by Late Week Through Next Weekend (Mo/18Mar2024 Update)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Monday / 18 March 2024

… Not Available Today …

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tkimmel@utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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On weekends and other University holidays when this site is not updated,
I encourage you to check out the latest NWS Austin-San Antonio forecast
for metro Austin at this link.

In times of severe and/or inclement weather, you can follow the latest area
watch, advisory and warning updates from our local NWS Austin-San Antonio
office through their website.. or by reading the actual text products (always
the most recent at the top of the page) through this link which is courtesy of
the Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Always check the date and time of issuance
of these NWS text products since, in periods of tranquil weather, the latest
products may be outdated and/or expired.

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Weather Threats Expected …

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) Following our weekend rain and clouds, a drier weather pattern is building into the area as high pressure from the north settles southward into the Lone Star State.

(2) Another upper level low pressure storm system will cross Texas – west to east – by Wednesday into Thursday with a chance of rain returning to the forecast.

(3) By late Thursday night into Friday, the upper air storm system will pass east of the area with a dry and stable weather pattern becoming reestablished for late week hrough our upcoming weekend.

Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance, 0.25 to 0.50 inch of rainfall is forecast for our IH35 corridor over the next seven day period (specifically in the Wednesday night into Thursday time period).

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High to very high.

Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Monday / 18 March 2024

TODAY (18Mar)…. Partly cloudy. High 65. North northeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with a few higher gusts.

TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 44. North northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph becoming light northeasterly after midnight.

TUESDAY (19Mar)…. Partly cloudy. High 65. Light east northeasterly wind becoming southeasterly 5 to 10 mph midday through the afternoon.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Becoming mostly cloudy. Low 49. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY (20Mar)…. Partly to mostly cloudy. High 67. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Becoming cloudy with scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat after midnight. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.25 inch. Low 57. Southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY (21Mar)…. Becoming partly cloudy. Warmer with scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat before 4pm. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.25 inch or less. High 76. Southeasterly wind becoming westerly 5 to 12 mph in the afternoon.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 55. Light westerly wind becoming southerly 4 to 8 mph after midnight.

FRIDAY (22Mar)…. Mostly sunny. High 78. Westerly wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south southeasterly in the afternoon.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 58. Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY (23Mar)…. Mostly sunny. High 78. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Increasing clouds becoming partly to mostly cloudy. Low 59. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

SUNDAY (24Mar)…. Partly to mostly cloudy and breezy. High 80. Southerly wind 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 25 March 2024 through Sunday / 31 March 2024
Temperatures… Slightly Below Average
Precipitation… Near Average

AUSTIN SUNRISE/SUNSET TIMES…..
Today (Mo/18Mar)……………………….. 7:37 am / 7:41 pm
Tomorrow (Tu/18Mar)………………….. 7:36 am / 7:42 pm

 

 

All Winter Weather Threats Have Ended (1125am CT, We/17Jan2024 Update)

ALL / Austin, Travis County and South Central Texas Weather Update 14 – FINAL
Prepared by UT University/Incident Response Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
1125am CT – Wednsday / 17 January 2024


All NWS winter event warnings have expired as of 10am this morning.

This is my final statement on this event.

tk