Updated 915am CT – Thursday / 28 June 2018

… A Dry and Stable Weather Pattern Over the Next Five to Six Days …
… Signs of a Weather Change for Middle into Latter Part of Next Week …

On the Weather Map…

On the surface map… surface high pressure is located over the southeastern USA and the western Atlantic Ocean basin as well as west of our area over the four corners region. A trough.. or line.. of surface low pressure extending southwestward from southeastern Colorado into New Mexico and far west Texas around El Paso. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds over south central Texas are southerly.

On the upper air map… a trough, or line, of upper air low pressure extends southward from eastern Hudson Bay into the northeastern USA with another one over the west coast of the USA. Sandwiched between those troughs, upper level high pressure, acting like a “lid” on the atmosphere, is over the southern plains. As a result of the upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are west northwesterly at about 10 mph.

What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…

Our atmosphere continues to be quite stable with above average afternoon temperatures expected in the coming days.

This weather pattern will continue through the balance of the week.. the weekend and into the first part of next week with little or no chance of precipitation.

While atmospheric model agreement is still not good, guidance suggests that a slug of moisture will move westward from the northern Gulf of Mexico and the coastal areas of Louisiana into Texas by Wednesday into Thursday and Friday. At this point, I will add a mention of precipitation, including the possibility of thunderstorms, beginning on Wednesday (July 4th). Rainfall amounts, at this point, for Wednesday and Wednesday night will average 1/4 inch or less. I’ll continue to monitor this potential system.

Have a good Thursday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

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Updated 845am CT… Thursday / 28 June 2018

TODAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 100. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear with low clouds developing around midnight. Low 76. Southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 100. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear with low clouds developing around midnight. Low 76. Southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 99. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear with low clouds developing around midnight. Low 76. Southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 98. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear with low clouds developing around midnight. Low 76. Southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 98. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear with low clouds developing around midnight. Low 76. Southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 97. Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with low clouds developing around 11pm. Low 76. East southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY / 4TH OF JULY/…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 95. Easterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thursday / 05 July 2018 through Wednesday / 11 July 2018…
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (28 Jun)………………………………………… 6:32 am
Sunset this evening (28 Jun)………………………………………….. 8:37 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (29 Jun)…………………………………………….. 6:32 am
Sunset tomorrow (29 Jun)……………………………………………… 8:37 pm