Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Troy’s Audio Weather Webcast for Tuesday / 01 May 2018….

wxcast

 

Updated 915am CT – Tuesday / 01 May 2018

… Clouds and Muggy Conditions Continue …
… Best Rain Chances Late Week into the Weekend …

On the Weather Map…

On the surface map… surface high pressure is to our east off the southeastern coast of the USA over the western Atlantic Ocean basin. Developing low pressure extends from Minnesota into the southwestern USA. Within this trough, or line, of low pressure, a cold front extends from Minnesota into Nebraska and Colorado and southern Utah and western Nevada and eastern Colorado. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds are southeasterly.

On the upper air map… a trough, or line, of upper level low pressure is departing eastward from the northeastern coast of the USA into the Atlantic. Another trough extends south southwestward from Hudson Bay to the southwestern USA. Between the two troughs, a ridge, or line, of upper level high pressure extends southward from the Great Lakes into the lower Mississippi Valley. As a result of the upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are west northwesterly 30 to 40 mph.

What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…

A moist and increasingly unstable air mass continues across Texas.

A few sprinkles along with a few rain showers and thunderstorms will continue in the forecast through tomorrow before precipitation chances increase later Thursday into Friday and Friday night as a weak cold front and associated upper air low pressure disturbance moves eastward over Texas. NWS/Storm Prediction Center meteorologists are highlighting areas to our west for a marginal to slight risk of severe thunderstorms Wednesday into Thursday with the best chance locally of stronger thunderstorms being Friday into Friday night. NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance is currently suggesting upwards of 1 to 2 inches of rain over the next seven day period with most of it coming in the Thursday through Saturday time period.

In the wake of the cold front Friday into Friday night, rain chances will taper off as slightly drier and more stable air spreads over the area Saturday into Saturday night.

At this point, I expect the return to sunshine and a more stable weather pattern Sunday into the early part of next week.

Have a good Tuesday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

Updated 845am CT… Tuesday / 01 May 2018

TODAY…. Mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles as well as widely scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms, with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/10th inch or less. High 82. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles as well as widely scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms, with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/10th inch or less. Low 70. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles as well as widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms, with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/10th inch or less. High 85. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms, with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/10th inch or less. Low 71. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

THURSDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms, with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 86. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms, with an associated lightning risk. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. Low 69. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

FRIDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms, with an associated lightning risk. A 50% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch. High 84. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with numerous rain showers and thunderstorms, with an associated lightning risk, as a weak cold front passes in the evening. A 60% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 to 1/2 inch with isolated higher totals. Low 65. South southwesterly wind shifting east northeasterly early at 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms, with an associated lightning risk, in the morning. Rain chances decreasing midday into the afternoon. A 40% chance of rain in the morning decreasing to 20% in the afternoon; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch. High 80. East northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 60. Light easterly wind.

SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 83. Light easterly wind becoming southeasterly in the afternoon.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 62. Light southeasterly wind.

MONDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 84. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 08 May 2018 through Monday / 14 May 2018…
Temperatures… Near Average
Precipitation… Slightly Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (01 May)………………………………………… 6:47 am
Sunset this evening (01 May)………………………………………….. 8:09 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (02 May)…………………………………………….. 6:47 am
Sunset tomorrow (02 May)……………………………………………… 8:10 pm