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April 2018

by troyk | on Apr 30, 2018 | Comments Off

Troy’s Audio Weather Webcast for Monday / 30 April 2018….

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by troyk | on Apr 30, 2018 | Comments Off

Updated 915am CT – Monday / 30 April 2018

… Increased Humidity With Rain Chances Returning …
… Best Rain Chances Late Week into the Weekend …

On the Weather Map…

On the surface map… surface high pressure is to our east and extends from the Ohio Valley region into southeastern Louisiana and the northern Gulf of Mexico. Developing low pressure extends from the Dakotas south southwestward into Colorado and he southwestern USA. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds are southeasterly.

On the upper air map… a trough, or line, of upper level low pressure extends southward from Maine into the western Atlantic Ocean basin. Another trough extends south southwestward from southwestern Canada over the western third of the USA. Between the two troughs, a ridge, or line, of upper level high pressure extends southward from the Great Lakes into eastern Texas and Louisiana. As a result of the upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are westerly 30 to 40 mph.

What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…

As we start the new week, a more moist and increasingly unstable air mass is taking hold across Texas.

Today into tonight, a weak low pressure disturbance will trigger a few rain showers over the area although rainfall amounts will remain minimal.

A few rain showers and thunderstorms will continue in the forecast tomorrow through Wednesday before precipitation chances increase later Thursday into Friday and Friday night as a weak cold front and associated upper air low pressure disturbance moves eastward over Texas. NWS/Storm Prediction Center meteorologists are highlighting areas to our west for a marginal to slight risk of severe thunderstorms Wednesday into Thursday with the best chance locally of stronger thunderstorms being Friday into Friday night. NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance is currently suggesting upwards of 1 to 2 inches of rain over the next seven day period with most of it coming in the Thursday through Saturday time period.

In the wake of the cold front Friday into Friday night, rain chances will taper off as slightly drier and more stable air spreads over the area Saturday into Saturday night.

At this point, I expect the return to sunshine and a more stable weather pattern Sunday into the early part of next week.

Have a good Monday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

Updated 845am CT… Monday / 30 April 2018

TODAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average trace amounts. High 81. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average trace amounts. Low 67. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

TUESDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly to mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms, with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/10th inch or less. High 82. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms, with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/10th inch or less. Low 69. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly to mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms, with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/10th inch or less. High 86. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms, with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/10th inch or less. Low 70. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

THURSDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms, with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 86. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms, with an associated lightning risk. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. Low 69. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

FRIDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms, with an associated lightning risk. A 50% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch. High 84. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with numerous rain showers and thunderstorms, with an associated lightning risk, as a weak cold front passes in the evening. A 60% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 to 1/2 inch with isolated higher totals. Low 63. South southwesterly wind shifting east northeasterly early at 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms, with an associated lightning risk, in the morning. Rain chances decreasing midday into the afternoon. A 40% chance of rain in the morning decreasing to 20% in the afternoon; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch. High 80. East northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 60. Light easterly wind.

SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 81. Light easterly wind becoming southeasterly in the afternoon.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 07 May 2018 through Sunday / 13 May 2018…
Temperatures… Near Average
Precipitation… Slightly Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (30 April)………………………………………. 6:48 am
Sunset this evening (30 April)………………………………………… 8:08 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (01 May)…………………………………………….. 6:47 am
Sunset tomorrow (01 May)……………………………………………… 8:09 pm

by troyk | on Apr 27, 2018 | Comments Off

Troy’s Audio Weather Webcast for Friday / 27 April 2018….

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by troyk | on Apr 27, 2018 | Comments Off

Updated 915am CT – Friday / 27 April 2018

… Dry Weather Due through the Weekend …
… Increased Humidity With Rain Chances Returning for the New Week …

On the Weather Map…

On the surface map… a cold front extends southwestward from northern Florida through the central Gulf of Mexico into northeastern Mexico south of Brownsville. Another weakening cold front extends southwestward from southern Missouri through southeastern Oklahoma and central Texas then westward into far southwest Texas and northern Mexico. Surface high pressure, north of the front, is oriented from northwestern Wyoming into the Texas panhandle and the south plains. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds are north northwesterly.

On the upper air map… a deep trough, or line, of upper level low pressure extends from Hudson Bay southward through the eastern half of the USA into the northern Gulf of Mexico. Another potent area of low pressure aloft is over the Pacific Ocean off the northern California and Oregon coasts. As a result of the upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are northwesterly 80 to 90 mph.

What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…

In the wake of the midweek cold front, a more stable weather pattern continues over the area. The weakening cold front, to our immediate northwest, will continue to weak as it moves slowly southeastward today but it will only reinforce the air mass in place.

Surface high pressure will once again move east of the area by tonight into Saturday and into early next week with low level moisture, off the Gulf of Mexico, making a return to the area.

A more unsettled weather pattern will return by the middle into the latter part of next week with rain chances reappearing in the forecast by Tuesday into Wednesday. Longer range guidance suggests the possibility of more widespread and a little heavier rainfall across Texas than we’ve seen lately by the latter part of next week. Stronger thunderstorms are possible over parts of the Lone Star State by the latter part of next week as well. I’ll continue to monitor for these possibilities.

Have a good Friday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

Updated 845am CT… Friday / 27 April 2018

TODAY…. Partly cloudy this morning then mostly sunny in the afternoon. High 82. Light northerly wind.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 57. Light northeasterly wind becoming calm late.

SATURDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 84. Light wind becoming southeasterly 4 to 8 mph by afternoon.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Becoming partly cloudy. Low 57. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 84. Light southeasterly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early then low clouds late. Low 62. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly to mostly cloudy. High 82. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early then low clouds late. Widely scattered sprinkles after midnight. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average trace amounts. Low 67. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph with some higher gusts.

TUESDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly to mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms, with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/10th inch or less. High 82. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms, with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/10th inch or less. Low 68. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph with some higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly to mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms, with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/10th inch or less. High 84. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms, with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/10th inch or less. Low 68. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph with some higher gusts.

THURSDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms, with an associated lightning risk. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 84. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Friday / 04 May 2018 through Thursday / 10 May 2018…
Temperatures… Below Average
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (30 April)………………………………………. 6:48 am
Sunset this evening (30 April)………………………………………… 8:08 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (01 May)……………………………………………. 6:47 am
Sunset tomorrow (01 May)…………………………………………….. 8:09 pm

by troyk | on Apr 26, 2018 | Comments Off

Troy’s Audio Weather Webcast for Thursday / 26 April 2018….

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