Updated 915am CT – Monday / 12 February 2018

… Sunshine to Start the Week …
… Clouds Increase as Warm Front Moves Northward Tonight into Tuesday …
… A Break in the Clouds Late Wednesday into Thursday …
… Rain Chances with Cold Frontal Passage Friday into the Weekend …

On the Weather Map…

On the surface map… surface high pressure is over south central Canada and the northern plains states and the upper Mississippi Valley with the associated ridge.. or line.. of high pressure southward into Texas. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds are north northeasterly.

On the upper air map… a broad trough, or line, of low pressure extends southward from Hudson Bay over much of the USA. Within the counter clockwise flow around the trough, a east southeastward moving upper level low pressure disturbance is over northern Nevada. As a result of the upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are west southwesterly 60 to 70 mph.

What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…

We’re seeing a break between weather systems today with sunshine expected along with warmer temperatures.

As the upper air low pressure disturbance out west moves east southeastward, the surface cold front out in the Gulf of Mexico, that moved through our area midday on Saturday, returns back northward. Clouds and rain chances will increase across the area by late tonight through Tuesday and into Wednesday. Temperatures will warm back above seasonal averages by Wednesday. The latest NWS Weather Prediction Center guidance suggests 1/4 inch or rain or less for our local area for the time period.

We’ll see another rather brief break in the clouds and rain chances by late Wednesday into Thursday.

Another upper air low pressure disturbance and associated surface cold front will move across Texas by Friday into Friday night. Clouds and rain chances will increase as the system passes Friday into Friday night. The clouds and rain chances will persist in the post frontal environment Saturday through Sunday with temperatures slowly warming by Sunday. NWS Weather Prediction Center guidance suggests rainfall during this period will be 1/4 inch or less.

Have a good Monday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

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Updated 845am CT… Monday / 12 February 2018

TODAY…. Mostly sunny. High 55. North northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TONIGHT…. Becoming mostly cloudy. Low 43. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY…. Mostly cloudy with a scattered rain showers developing. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/10th inch or less. High 58. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/10th inch or less. Low 52. Light east northeasterly wind becoming calm late.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly cloudy and warmer with scattered rain showers. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/10th inch or less. High 68. Light wind early becoming south southeasterly and increasing to 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. Low 59. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY…. Becoming partly cloudy by mid morning. Much warmer. High 76. Southerly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Becoming mostly cloudy with a few rain showers developing. A 20% chance of rain; where it occurs, it will average a few hundredths of an inch. Low 59. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers as a cold front passes by midday. A 30% chance of rain; where it occurs, it will average 1/10th inch or less. High 62. Southwesterly wind becoming westerly in the morning then northerly 10 to 20 mph by afternoon.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy and colder with scattered patches of rain. A 30% chance of rain; where it occurs, it will average a few hundredths of an inch. Low 38. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY…. Cloudy and colder with scattered patches of rain. A 30% chance of rain; where it occurs, it will average a few hundredths of an inch. High 51. North northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with a few patches of rain. A 20% chance of rain; where it occurs, it will average trace amounts. Low 40. East northeasterly wind becoming light east southeasterly after midnight.

SUNDAY…. Cloudy and a little warmer with a few patches of rain. A 20% chance of rain; where it occurs, it will average trace amounts. High 60. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 19 February 2018 through Sunday / 25 February 2018…
Temperature… Slightly Above Average
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (12 February)………………………………….. 7:13 am
Sunset this evening (12 February)……………………………………. 6:17 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (13 February)………………………………………. 7:13 am
Sunset tomorrow (13 February)……………………………………….. 6:18 pm