Monthly Archives
February 2018

by troyk | on Feb 28, 2018 | Comments Off

Troy’s Audio Weather Webcast for Wednesday / 28 February 2018….

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by troyk | on Feb 28, 2018 | Comments Off

Updated 915am CT – Wednesday / 28 February 2018

… Unsettled Weather Returns with Clouds and Rain Chances …
… Following Frontal Passage, A More Stable Weather Pattern Tomorrow …
… Clouds and Rain Chances Return over the Upcoming Weekend …
… Another Cold Front Due Early Monday …

On the Weather Map…

On the surface map… a northeastward moving warm front extends from southwestern Alabama northwestward into central Arkansas into central Oklahoma. A developing low pressure area is over southwestern Kansas with an associated cold front extending westward into Colorado then southwestward through western New Mexico and northwestern Mexico. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds are southerly.

On the upper air map… a strong counter clockwise rotating upper air low pressure disturbance is over central and southern Arizona into northwestern Mexico. As a result of the upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are west southwesterly 70 to 80 mph.

What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…

The warm front moved back northward through the Austin area yesterday afternoon with afternoon high temperatures climbing to unseasonably warm levels (to near 80 F).

Another cold front moves through the area by tonight into early tomorrow, we’ll see rain and thunderstorm activity peak.

Once the front passes by early tomorrow morning, a drier and more stable weather pattern will prevail tomorrow through Friday night.

Another approaching cold front and associated upper air low pressure disturbance, from the west, will pull low level moisture northward again to affect the area by Friday night into Saturday, Sunday and into next week. The front should pass through the area by early next Monday with rain chances decreasing thereafter.

Precipitation over our south central Texas region, over the next seven day period, will average somewhere in the 1/2 to 3/4 inch range with most of it in the overnight hours tonight.

Have a good Wednesday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

Updated 845am CT… Wednesday / 28 February 2018

TODAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy and warmer with scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain by afternoon; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1/4 inch or less. High 79. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

TONIGHT…. Cloudy with increasing rain chances. Numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with associated lightning risk as a cold front passes around midnight. Rain chances increases to 60%; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 to 1/2 inch. Turning cooler after midnight. Low 54. Southwesterly wind becoming northerly 5 to 12 mph.

THURSDAY…. Some clouds lingering until sunrise then sunny and less humid. High 67. Northerly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 44. North northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 68. North northeasterly wind becoming east southeasterly 5 to 10 mph by afternoon.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with increasing low clouds late. Low 48. Light east southeasterly wind.

SATURDAY…. Patchy fog and drizzle early.. otherwise partly to mostly cloudy and more humid. Scattered patches of rain. A few rain showers. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average trace amounts. High 68. East southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and a few thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. Low 55. Southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. Patchy fog early.. otherwise partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 72. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. Low 57. Southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY…. Patchy fog early.. otherwise mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk through midday as a cold front passes. Decreasing clouds and less humid in the afternoon. A 40% chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch. High 68. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph shifting north northwesterly 8 to 15 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear and cooler. Low 48. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 68. North northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 07 March 2018 through Tuesday / 13 March 2018…
Temperature… Near to Slightly Below Average
Precipitation… Near to Slightly Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (28 February)………………………………….. 6:59 am
Sunset this evening (28 February)……………………………………. 6:29 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (01 March)…………………………………………… 6:58 am
Sunset tomorrow (01 March)……………………………………………. 6:30 pm

by troyk | on Feb 27, 2018 | Comments Off

Troy’s Audio Weather Webcast for Tuesday / 27 February 2018….

Audio clip: Adobe Flash Player (version 9 or above) is required to play this audio clip. Download the latest version here. You also need to have JavaScript enabled in your browser.

 
(Note: If my Audio Weather Webcast is not properly linked
here (usually because of Go Daddy hosting problems), please
check out my UT weather website…
https://weather.utexas.edu/ )

by troyk | on Feb 27, 2018 | Comments Off

Updated 915am CT – Tuesday / 27 February 2018

… Unsettled Weather Returns with Clouds, Fog and Rain Chances …
… Weather Pattern Turns More Stable Later in the Week …
… Clouds and Rain Chances Return over the Upcoming Weekend …

On the Weather Map…

On the surface map… a stationary front extends westward from northern Florida into the northern Gulf of Mexico where it turns into a warm front and extends into far south Texas. A developing low pressure area and an associated cold front extends from southern Nebraska into norther Colorado. A trough, or line, of low pressure extends from Colorado south southwestward into far west Texas and New Mexico. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds are east southeasterly.

On the upper air map… a strong counter clockwise rotating upper air low pressure disturbance is along the California coast northwest of the Los Angeles area. As a result of the upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are westerly 75 to 85 mph.

What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…

The cold front, that moved through the area last Saturday night, has now become a warm front and returning northwestward resulting in increased clouds along and patchy fog and drizzle as the warm, moist air off the Gulf of Mexico flows up and over the increasingly shallow layer of surface based cold air. By later tonight into early tomorrow, the front will seep northward through our area scouring out the cooler surface based air.

As another cold front move through the area by late Wednesday into early Thursday, we’ll see rain and thunderstorms peak.

Once the front passes by early Thursday morning, a drier and more stable weather pattern will prevail Thursday through Friday night.

Another approaching cold front and associated upper air low pressure disturbance will affect the area by Saturday, Sunday and into next week. The front should pass through the area by late next Monday with rain chances decreasing thereafter.

Precipitation over our south central Texas region, over the next seven day period, will average somewhere in the 1/4 to 1/2 inch range.

Have a good Tuesday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

Updated 845am CT… Tuesday / 27 February 2018

TODAY…. Patchy fog and drizzle early in the morning. Mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain in the morning increasing to 60% by afternoon; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 73. Light easterly wind becoming southeasterly 4 to 8 mph by afternoon.

TONIGHT…. Cloudy. A few lingering rain showers. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/10th inch or less. Low 63. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy and warmer with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1/4 inch or less. High 77. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with increasing rain chances. Numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with associated lightning risk as a cold front passes late. Rain chances increases to 60%; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch. Cooler after midnight. Low 54. Southwesterly wind becoming northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

THURSDAY…. A few sprinkles before 8am. Becoming mostly sunny and less humid. High 65. Northerly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 44. North northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 66. North northeasterly wind becoming east southeasterly 5 to 10 mph by afternoon.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with increasing clouds late. Low 48. Light east southeasterly wind.

SATURDAY…. Patchy fog and drizzle early.. otherwise partly to mostly cloudy and more humid. Scattered patches of rain. A few rain showers. High 66. East southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and a few thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. Low 55. Southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. Patchy fog early.. otherwise partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 72. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and a few thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. Low 59. Southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY…. Patchy fog early.. otherwise mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 40% chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. High 70. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 06 March 2018 through Monday / 12 March 2018…
Temperature… Below Average
Precipitation… Near Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (27 February)………………………………….. 6:59 am
Sunset this evening (27 February)……………………………………. 6:29 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (28 February)………………………………………. 6:58 am
Sunset tomorrow (28 February)……………………………………….. 6:30 pm

by troyk | on Feb 26, 2018 | Comments Off

Troy’s Audio Weather Webcast for Monday / 26 February 2018….

Audio clip: Adobe Flash Player (version 9 or above) is required to play this audio clip. Download the latest version here. You also need to have JavaScript enabled in your browser.

 
(Note: If my Audio Weather Webcast is not properly linked
here (usually because of Go Daddy hosting problems), please
check out my UT weather website…
https://weather.utexas.edu/ )