Updated 915am CT – Thursday / 16 November 2017

.. A Weak Cold Front Washes Out Overhead Today ..
.. Our Next Big Cold Front Due on Saturday ..
.. Overall, Rain Chances Remain Very Slim over Next Seven Days ..

On the Weather Map…
On the surface map… a weak stationary front extends from northeastern Mexico then over our south central Texas area and east northeastward into southern Mississippi. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our surface winds across south central Texas are variable.

On the upper air map… a upper level low pressure trough extending south southeastward from Hudson Bay into the eastern USA. A second low pressure trough is deepening from British Columbia southward to just offshore of the USA west coast. Upper air high pressure has weakened at bit and settled more southwestward and is now centered over western areas of Mexico and the Baja Peninsula. As a result of this upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our area are northwesterly 80 to 90 mph.

What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…

A weak cold front has settled southward and is now weakening overhead of the south central Texas area. A few rain showers will accompany the weak frontal system as it weakens overhead today. As quickly as the front arrived in our area, it will continue to wash out overhead and return back northward as a warm front with south southeasterly winds returning by tonight.

After tomorrow, the next cold front, stronger in nature, will pass around midday or early afternoon Saturday. As mentioned yesterday, the air mass, in advance of the front, will be fairly stable and will have dried out a bit tomorrow into Saturday with a more south southwesterly wind. As a result, other than some patchy late night and early morning drizzle Friday night into early Saturday, I do not expect any precipitation as the front moves through.

A breezy and cooler weather pattern will be in place once the front passes Saturday with skies clearing. Daytime highs falling back to slightly below seasonal averages.

A return south southeasterly wind will return by Monday into Tuesday of next week with warmer temperatures settling in once again in the days before Thanksgiving.

Have a good Thursday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

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Updated 845am CT.. Thursday / 16 November 2017

TODAY…. Patchy morning fog and drizzle. Morning low clouds, otherwise partly to mostly cloudy with a few rain showers. The chance of rain is 20%; where rainfall occurs, it’ll average 1/4 inch or less. High 77. Light and variable wind.

TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy early. Low clouds and patchy drizzle developing after midnight. Low 64. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY…. Patchy morning fog. Morning low clouds, otherwise partly cloudy. Unseasonably warm. High 84. Southerly wind 8 to 18 mph with some higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early with low clouds late. Some patchy drizzle possible after midnight. Low 68. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY…. Some brief morning low clouds and patchy drizzle, otherwise partly cloudy. Turning windy and cooler as a cold front passes midday into early afternoon. High 76. Southwesterly wind becoming northerly 15 to 25 mph and gusty by afternoon.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Clear and colder. Low 45. Northerly wind 8 to 18 mph decreasing after midnight.

SUNDAY…. Sunshine. Cooler. High 65. North northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 40. Light northeasterly wind.

MONDAY…. Sunshine. High 68. Light wind becoming east southeasterly by late afternoon.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 49. Light easterly wind becoming southeasterly 4 to 8 mph after midnight.

TUESDAY…. Mostly sunny and a bit warmer. High 73. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with a few rain showers as a cold front passes. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it’ll average 1/4 inch or less. Low 52. Southwesterly wind shifting north northwesterly at 8 to 15 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Partly cloudy and a little cooler. High 67. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thursday / 23 November 2017 through Wednesday / 29 November 2017…
Temperature… Above Average
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (16 November)………………………………. 6:58 am
Sunset this evening (16 November)………………………………… 5:34 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (17 November)…………………………………… 6:59 am
Sunset tomorrow (17 November)……………………………………. 5:33 pm