Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Updated 915am CT – Friday / 10 March 2017

… A More Unsettled Weather Pattern by Late Week into the Weekend …
… Next Cold Front Late Saturday Night into Early Sunday Morning …

On this Friday… a weak cold front extends west southwestward from eastern Tennessee into northern Mississippi central and southern Arkansas to the Red River country of north Texas and southern Oklahoma and into west Texas then northwestward into northeastern New Mexico into central Colorado. As a result, our surface winds across south central Texas are light and variable.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere, a broad trough, or line, of upper level low pressure extends south southeastward from Hudson Bay south southeasterly through the eastern third of the USA. An otherwise rather zonal (west-to-east) upper air wind pattern prevails across the western two third of the USA. As a result, the 30,000 foot winds over south central Texas are west southwesterly 35 to 45 mph.

Broken clouds continue their hold over the area on this Friday.

The low level moisture continues late week into the weekend. However, with a more zonal (think, west-to-east) forecast upper air wind pattern, I do not see any big air mass changes through tomorrow into tomorrow night. You should a better chance of rain showers and thunderstorms today through tomorrow into tomorrow night ahead of an approaching upper air low pressure disturbance from the west and an associated weak surface cold front that will “backdoor” its way into our area from the north northeast by late tomorrow night.

The developing and passing upper air disturbance and associated cold front will move across the area just after midnight Saturday night with cooler temperatures and a more stable air mass taking hold Sunday (with more sunshine) with a few more clouds Sunday night into Monday in advance of a second reinforcing weak cold front, again more from the north northeast, Monday night into Tuesday. Clouds will once again decrease by Tuesday with the passage of the second cold front.

Have a good Friday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

Updated 845am CT.. Friday / 10 March 2017

TODAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 40% chance of rain. Rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1/4 inch or less. High 78. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 40% chance of rain. Rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1/4 inch or less. Low 66. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 50% chance of rain. Rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1/4 inch. High 78. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk as a cold front passes after midnight. A 60% chance of rain. Rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1/4 to 1/2 inch. Turning cooler after midnight. Low 55. South southwesterly wind 5 to 10 mph shifting north northeasterly after midnight.

SUNDAY…. Decreasing clouds early becoming partly cloudy. Cooler and less humid. High 69. North northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 54. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming more easterly after midnight.

MONDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy and a little warmer. High 76. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with a cold front passing by about midnight. Low 54. South southwesterly wind becoming northeasterly 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 70. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming more easterly by afternoon.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 50. Light easterly wind becoming southeasterly after midnight.

WEDNESDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 72. Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 56. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 78. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Friday / 17 March 2017 through Thursday / 23 March 2017…
Temperature… Above Average
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (10 Mar)……………………………………………. 6:48 am
Sunset this evening (10 Mar)……………………………………………… 6:36 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (11 Mar)………………………………………………… 6:47 am
Sunset tomorrow (11 Mar)…………………………………………………. 6:37 pm