Monthly Archives
April 2015

TK’s Special Briefing…. (835pm CT-Thu/23Apr2015)

by troyk | on Apr 24, 2015 | Comments Off

Austin / Travis County and South Central Texas Weather Update #6
Prepared by UT University/Incident Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
835pm CT – Thursday / 23 April 2015

…. Severe Thunderstorm Watch for Williamson County Canceled ….

As we retire for the evening, everything looks quiet across the area with a few
thunderstorms northwest of Fort Hood in Bell County to our north.

As the NWS/Austin-San Antonio has pointed out tonight, the models have had
a tough time resolving thunderstorm occurrence across the area today.

The latest high resolution (and short terms) models are indicating an upper
air low pressure disturbance.. over northern Mexico.. will traverse the area
overnight into the morning rush hour Friday. As it does, the atmospheric lift
will increase with a moist and fairly unstable air mass in place. Both of the
models that I’m looking at suggests that an area of rain showers and
thunderstorms will develop in the next few hours to our west and
southwest and overspread the area by 2 to 4 am tomorrow morning and
continue through the morning rush hour.

We continue to be in a “marginal” NWS severe weather risk area through
7am tomorrow then a “slight” NWS severe weather risk area 7am tomorrow
into tomorrow night.

I will continue to monitor..
tk

TK’s Special Briefing…. (520pm CT-Thu/23Apr2015)

by troyk | on Apr 23, 2015 | Comments Off

Austin / Travis County and South Central Texas Weather Update #5
Prepared by UT University/Incident Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
520pm CT – Thursday / 23 April 2015

…. Severe Thunderstorm Watch Issued for Williamson County until 9pm ….
It does not include the Austin metro area at this time…

A dissipating thunderstorm is located west of Belton…
A developing thunderstorm is just north of Burnet…

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0097_radar_big.gif

Link: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0097.html

I’m continuing to monitor.. tk

TK’s Special Briefing…. (350pm CT-Thu/23Apr2015)

by troyk | on Apr 23, 2015 | Comments Off

Austin / Travis County and South Central Texas Weather Update #4
Prepared by UT University/Incident Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
350pm CT – Thursday / 23 April 2015

“Slight” Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Continues Today For Parts of our Area …
A Continued “Slight” of Severe Thunderstorms Risk for Tomorrow ….


NWS/Storm Prediction Center has issued a MESOSCALE DISCUSSION for
areas Austin northward.. watch possible in next couple of hours…
MD 428 graphic

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2015/md0428.html

I’m continuing to monitor.. tk

--

TK’s Audio Weather Webcast…. (945am CT-Thu/23Apr2015)

by troyk | on Apr 23, 2015 | Comments Off

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TK’s Austin and South Central Texas Weather Forecast….

by troyk | on Apr 23, 2015 | Comments Off

Updated 845am CT.. Thursday / 23 April 2015

TODAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. Some thunderstorms possibly severe with hail 1″ in diameter or larger along with thunderstorm winds 58 mph or higher. Frequent dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning will accompany thunderstorms. A 40% chance of rain at any given location.. where it occurs, rainfall will average 1/4 inch. High 85. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. Frequent dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning will accompany thunderstorms. A 30% chance of rain at any given location.. where it occurs, rainfall will average 1/4 inch. Low 69. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. Some thunderstorms possibly severe with hail 1″ in diameter or larger along with thunderstorm winds 58 mph or higher. Frequent dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning will accompany thunderstorms. A 50% chance of rain at any given location.. where it occurs, rainfall will average 1/4 to 1/2 inch. High 83. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms mainly before midnight. A 30% chance of rain at any given location.. where it occurs, rainfall will average 1/4 inch or less. Low 67. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms mainly before 10am. A 20% chance of rain at any given location.. where it occurs, rainfall will average 1/4 inch or less. . High 87. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 65. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 88. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. A 20% chance of rain at any given location.. where it occurs, rainfall will average 1/4 inch or less. Low 67. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY…. Partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. A 30% chance of rain at any given location.. where it occurs, rainfall will average 1/4 inch or less. High 86. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms as a cold front passes. A 30% chance of rain at any given location.. where it occurs, rainfall will average 1/4 inch. Low 64. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph becoming northerly 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY…. Partly cloudy and not quite as warm with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms before 9am. A 20% chance of rain at any given location.. where it occurs, rainfall will average 1/4 inch or less. High 80. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy and cooler. Low 58. North northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
WEDNESDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 79. Light northeasterly wind becoming more east southeasterly in the afternoon.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thursday / 30 April 2015 through Wednesday/ 06 May 2015…
Temperature… Slightly Below Average
Precipitation… Near Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (23 April)…………………………………………. 6:56 am
Sunset this evening (23 April)…………………………………………… 8:04pm
Sunrise Friday (24 April)………………………………………………….. 6:54 am
Sunset Friday (24 April)…………………………………………………… 8:04 pm