Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

TK’s Special Briefing…. (235pm CT-Sun/19Apr2015)

Austin / Travis County and South Central Texas Weather Update #1
Prepared by UT University/Incident Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
225pm CT – Sunday / 19 April 2015

…. Dry Line Moving Across the Area ….
…. Isolated Thunderstorms Developing ….
…. Severe Thunderstorm Watch Issued for Areas East of IH35
Corridor ….

At 225pm… a thunderstorm has developed northwest of Lexington with
another recently west of Kyle in Hays County. Lightning is being indicated
with both thunderstorms.

Based on surface analysis and NWS Doppler weather radar.. the eastward
moving dry line extends from eastern Williamson County to near Austin
Bergstrom International Airport to near Wimberley in Hays County.

As the dry line feature moves eastward and an approaching cold front.. moving
in from the northwest as well.. catches up with it, additional thunderstorm
development is likely east of the IH35 corridor.

A severe thunderstorm watch has been issued.. valid until 8pm.. for Fayette, Bastrop
and Lee counties. The watch for the counties in our immediate area will likely be
removed from the watch later this afternoon. No thunderstorms are expected in
the Austin metro area or Travis and Williamson counties and the thunderstorms
over Hays county should move out of the IH35 corridor before 345pm.

This will be my only statement on this weather event.

tk

TK’s Special Briefing…. FINAL (1140pm CT-Sat/18Apr2015)

Austin / Travis County and South Central Texas Weather Update #25 – FINAL
Prepared by UT University/Incident Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
1140pm CT – Saturday / 18 April 2015

…. Threat of Thunderstorms Ending ….

At 1120pm… there are a few small non-severe thunderstorms across the area..
one near Pflugerville in northeast Travis County.. with another just northwest
of San Marcos. Other isolated moderate rain showers and thunderstorms are
outside the IH35 corridor counties near Burnet and also in Caldwell and Bastrop
counties.

The threat of severe weather has ended. All NWS advisories/watches and
warnings have expired. Other than the NWS final storm report mentioned below,
this will be my last statement on this weather event.

Tomorrow, I will forward to you, via email, the final NWS Austin-San Antonio
Local Storm Report (LSR) on this event.

…. Looking Ahead to the New Week ….

Tomorrow and Monday look like beautiful days with abundant sunshine. As this
upper level low pressure storm system moves away from the area tomorrow, a
pronounced dry, continental southwesterly surface wind flow will develop with the
possibility of highs getting near 90 in the afternoon. A rather strong dry surface
cold front will move through the area late tomorrow into tomorrow night with highs
on Monday, with sunshine, about 20 degrees cooler than tomorrow… we’ll only
be in the lower 70s for highs. Lows tomorrow night and Monday night will be in the
50s.

By Wednesday through the remainder of the week, we find ourselves back in a
more moist and unstable situation with another upper level Pacific low pressure
storm system approaching. Thunderstorm chances will be increasing again.
According to the latest NWS/Storm Prediction Center outlooks, there could be
the possibility of severe weather again over Texas and the southern plains as
early as Wednesday.. but more likely with a potentially higher risk Thursday into
Friday (and maybe even the weekend). As we plan the new week ahead, let’s
continue to be weather aware for the possibility of severe weather by mid and late
week and potentially into next weekend.

On behalf of the NWS/Austin-San Antonio, thanks for the storm reports tonight…
I forwarded them to the NWS office as you relayed them to me.

Have a good Sunday and a good start to your week… tk