Daily Archives
March 9, 2015

… FLASH FLOOD WATCH NO LONGER IN EFFECT …

by troyk | on Mar 09, 2015 | Comments Off

Austin / Travis County and South Central Texas Weather Update #3
Prepared by UT University/Incident Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
645pm CT – Monday / 09 March 2015


.. Flash Flood Watch No Longer in Effect ..

Although a few more rain showers may occur as the upper air low
pressure disturbance continues to move east northeastward out of the
area, there is no longer the threat of flooding.

There are still about 81 low water crossings still flooded around south
central Texas.. please consult http://www.atxfloods.com/  for the latest
information… and, remember, “turn around, don’t drown.”

Drier and more stable air will prevail over the remainder of the week and
through the coming weekend.

STATISTICS (Today’s Calendar Day Rainfall):
KAUS / Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport… 1.58″
(New daily record for KAUS for 9 March.. old record 1.08″ on 9 Mar 2012)
KATT / Austin City (Camp Mabry)…….. 2.17″
(New daily record for KATT for 9 March.. old record 1.27″ on 9 Mar 2012)

This is my final statement on this weather system.

tk

TK’s Audio Weather Webcast…. (1010am CT-Mon/09Mar2015)

by troyk | on Mar 09, 2015 | Comments Off

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TK’s Austin / South Central Texas Weather Forecast….

by troyk | on Mar 09, 2015 | Comments Off

Updated 845am CT.. Monday / 09 March 2015

TODAY…. Cloudy with rain showers with periods of moderate to heavy rain. Rainfall, given a 100% chance of rain at any given location, will average an additional 1 to 2 inches. High 54. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TONIGHT…. Cloudy with rain chances diminishing west to east. Rainfall, where it occurs, given a 40% chance of precipitation at any given location, will average less than 1/4 inch. Low 47. North northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY…. Decreasing clouds in the morning becoming mostly sunny and warmer. High 65. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 46. Northerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 69. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 47. Northerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 70. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 48. Northerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 71. Light north northeasterly wind.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 48. Light north northeasterly wind.

SATURDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 70. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 46. Light northeasterly wind.

SUNDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 71. East northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 16 March 2015 through Sunday / 22 March 2015…
Temperature… Below Average
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (09 March)………………………………………….. 7:48 am
Sunset this evening (09 March)……………………………………………. 7:36 pm
Sunrise Tuesday (10 March)……………………………………………….. 7:46 am
Sunset Tuesday (10 March)………………………………………………… 7:38 pm

TK’s Weather Discussion….

by troyk | on Mar 09, 2015 | Comments Off

Updated 915am CT – Monday / 09 March 2015

… A Wet Start to the Week …
… A Drier and More Stable Weather Pattern Mid and Late Week and the Weekend …
… A Warming Trend Kicking In…

On this Monday morning…. a weakening stationary front extends fro central Missouri southwestward into southeast Kansas into northwest Oklahoma and the Texas panhandle. Surface high pressure is well to our east over eastern Tennessee and the southern Appalachians. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our local surface winds are northerly.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere.. an upper level trough.. or line.. of low pressure extends southwestward from eastern Rockies and central plains into northern Mexico. As a result, our upper air winds at about 18,500 feet are south southwesterly at 40 to 50 mph.

An overrunning pattern continues across the area with lower atmospheric flow off the Gulf of Mexico and mid and high level moisture from the Pacific Ocean. With dynamic upper level lift, associated with a strong upper air low pressure disturbance, moving across the area today into this evening, we’ll continue to see waves of rain showers continue through the evening hours. Some periods of moderate to heavy rain may occur. The NWS/Austin-San Antonio continues a Flash Flood Watch for the IH35 corridor counties and counties east of those counties until 7pm this evening. It’s my feeling that we’ll receive an additional 1 to 3 inches of rain today before rain tapers off later this afternoon into this evening with the passage of the upper level low pressure disturbance.

Skies will partially clear tomorrow with a drier and more stable weather pattern prevailing mid and late week and through our upcoming weekend. Temperatures will be warming back to near seasonal averages with the increased sunshine.

Regarding my forecast, my local forecast confidence: My forecast confidence is high for today into tonight then high to very high for tomorrow through the remainder of the week into the upcoming weekend.

Have a good Monday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu

http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

…. FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES UNTIL 7PM ….

by troyk | on Mar 09, 2015 | Comments Off

Austin / Travis County and South Central Texas Weather Update #x
Prepared by UT University/Incident Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
900am CT – Monday / 09 March 2015


.. Flash Flood Watch Remains in Effect IH35 Corridor Eastward until 7pm ..

NWS WATCHES / ADVISORIES / WARNINGS:
NWS /  Flash Flood Watch (Valid until 700pm Mon/09Mar2015)
Counties Included.. Williamson, Hays and Travis and counties eastward
Additional 1 to 3 inch rainfall accumulations mainly in areas east of IH35…

NWS /  Urban and Small Stream Flood Advisory (Valid until 1115am Mon/09Mar2015)
Counties Included.. Central Travis, Williamson and northwestern Lee counties
Some low water crossings are flooded… see..
http://www.atxfloods.com/ 


OFFICIAL RAINFALL TOTALS FOR CALENDAR DAY (STATISTICS):
LCRA Hydromet….

http://hydromet.lcra.org/full.aspx

OBSERVATIONS AND MY LATEST THOUGHTS:
Heaviest rainfall today into the evening will be in areas mainly east of the IH35 corridor.

 

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