Updated 800am CT – Thursday / 23 October 2014

…. Not Much Change ….
…. A Mostly Dry Stable Weather Pattern Continues as Temperatures Warm ….

On this Thursday morning…. surface high pressure extends southwestward from the eastern Great Lakes into eastern Arkansas. A trough.. or line.. of low pressure extends southwestward from the southeastern Colorado and southwestern Kansas across the western Oklahoma panhandle into west Texas and southeastern New Mexico. Another surface high pressure extends northward from central and northern New Mexico into Colorado and Utah. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our local surface winds are light.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere.. a strong area of upper level low pressure is situated over the northeastern USA and northwest Atlantic Ocean with another trough.. or line.. of low pressure is moving eastward through the southern plains. As a result, our upper winds at 18,500 feet are west northwesterly less than 25 mph.

Even with a few sprinkles from the middle level cloud deck across the area this morning in association with the passing upper air low pressure trough, a general dry stable fall weather pattern continues across our area.

After the sprinkles in the area this morning, overall, little change is seen over the coming days with no rainfall expected over the next seven day forecast period. Our next cold front doesn’t appear until next Tuesday when we’ll see slim rain chances.

Regarding my forecast, my local forecast confidence: My forecast confidence is high to very high through the next seven day forecast period.

Have a good Thursday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel