Monthly Archives
September 2013

TK’s Audio Weather Webcast….

by troyk | on Sep 05, 2013 | Comments Off

Updated 945am CT  Thursday / 5 September 2013

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TK’s Austin & South Central Texas Forecast….

by troyk | on Sep 05, 2013 | Comments Off

Updated 845am CDT.. Thursday / 5 September 2013

TODAY…. Some brief morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with a 20% chance of afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms. High 98 to 102. Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph. Rainfall.. where it occurs.. will average 1/4 inch or less.

TONIGHT…. A 20% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms until midnight. Otherwise.. partly cloudy. Low 71 to 75. Southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph. Evening rainfall.. where it occurs.. will average 1/4 inch or less.

FRIDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with a 20% chance of afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms. High 97 to 101. Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. A 20% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms until midnight. Otherwise.. partly cloudy. Low 71 to 75. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph. Evening rainfall.. where it occurs.. will average 1/4 inch or less.

SATURDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 96 to 100. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 71 to 75. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with a 20% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. High 95 to 99. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 71 to 75. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
MONDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with a 20% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. High 94 to 98. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 71 to 75. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with a less than 20% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. High 94 to 98. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 71 to 75. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY….  Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 94 to 98. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thursday / 12 September 2013  through Wednesday / 18 September 2013…
Temperature… Above Average
Precipitation… Slightly Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (5 September)…………………………… 7:10 am
Sunset this evening (5 September)……………………………. 7:48 pm
Sunrise Friday (6 September)………………………………….. 7:11 am
Sunset Friday (6 September)…………………………………… 7:47 pm

TK’s Weather Discussion….

by troyk | on Sep 05, 2013 | Comments Off

Updated 845am CDT Thursday / 5 September 2013

…. Slim Thunderstorm Chances Linger for Afternoon into Evening Hours ….
…. An Otherwise Typical Late Summer Weather Pattern Continues ….

On this Thursday morning…. surface high pressure continues over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico as well as the southwestern Atlantic Ocean. A weakening stationary front extends southwestward from Georgia into Alabama and Mississippi and then into eastern and central Texas. Another high pressure area is to our distant west over the southwestern Colorado and the four corners region. A low pressure area is over western Kansas with a trough.. or line.. of low pressure extending southward into eastern New Mexico and far west Texas. As a result of this surface weather pattern, surface winds are south southeasterly over our area.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere… a strong upper level high pressure area has settled northward a bit into north and northeastern Colorado. Being just on the southeast side of the upper air high, winds over south central Texas and the Austin metro area about 18,000 feet above the ground are easterly 15 to 25 mph.

Lingering atmospheric moisture and a weak disturbance aloft today will combine with daytime heating for isolated to widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms over the next couple of days.. primarily in the afternoon into evening hours. Much as we saw in parts of the Austin area last evening, frequent cloud to ground lightning and gusty winds may accompany the thunderstorms.

Other than the slim precipitation chances, I expect that the upper level high pressure area will continue to dominate our weather with a fair amount of sunshine over the coming days with continued above average temperatures.

By late in the weekend into next week, it looks like a slightly more moist and unstable air mass will take hold with temperatures falling to more average levels. We’ll also need to watch for increasing rain chances, as well, by late in the weekend into early next week.

According to meteorologists at the NWS/National Hurricane Center, there are a few systems over the Atlantic Ocean basin.. including a disturbance over the Bay of Campeche. The system over the Bay of Campeche may become better organized as it moves ashore by tomorrow on the east coast of Mexico. Tropical storm Gabrielle.. off the west coast of Puerto Rico.. will move northwestward into the southwest North Atlantic.

Regarding my forecast, my local forecast confidence: High to very high forecast confidence over the next seven days.

Have a good Thursday…
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu

http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

TK’s Audio Weather Webcast….

by troyk | on Sep 04, 2013 | Comments Off

Updated 945am CT – Wednesday / 4 September 2013

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TK’s Austin & South Central Texas Forecast….

by troyk | on Sep 04, 2013 | Comments Off

Updated 845am CDT.. Wednesday / 4 September 2013

TODAY…. Mostly sunny with a 20% chance of afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms. High 99 to 103. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph. Rainfall.. where it occurs.. will average 1/4 inch or less.

TONIGHT…. A 10% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms until midnight. Otherwise.. mostly clear. Low 71 to 75. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph. Rainfall.. where it occurs.. will average 1/4 inch or less.

THURSDAY…. Some brief morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny with a 20% chance of afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms. High 98 to 102. Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph. Rainfall.. where it occurs.. will average 1/4 inch or less.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. A 10% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms until midnight. Otherwise.. partly cloudy. Low 71 to 75. Southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph. Rainfall.. where it occurs.. will average 1/4 inch or less.

FRIDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 97 to 101. Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 71 to 75. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 96 to 100. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 71 to 75. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with a 20% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. High 95 to 99. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 71 to 75. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
MONDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with a 20% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. High 94 to 98. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 71 to 75. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with a 20% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. High 94 to 98. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 11 September 2013  through Tuesday / 17 September 2013…
Temperature… Above Average
Precipitation… Near Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (4 September)…………………………… 7:10 am
Sunset this evening (4 September)……………………………. 7:50 pm
Sunrise Thursday (5 September)………………………………. 7:10 am
Sunset Thursday (5 September)……………………………….. 7:48 pm