Daily Archives
September 24, 2013

TK’s Audio Weather Webcast….

by troyk | on Sep 24, 2013 | Comments Off

Updated 945am CT – Tuesday / 24 September 2013

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TK’s Weather Discussion….

by troyk | on Sep 24, 2013 | Comments Off

Updated 845am CDT Tuesday / 24 September 2013

…. A Dry and Stable Weather Pattern ….
…. A Cold Front Due Late Saturday Night into Early Sunday with a Chance of Rain ….

On this Tuesday morning…. a surface high pressure is centered over the St. Lawrence River Valley and the northeastern USA. A low pressure area is over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico with a stationary front from the northeastern Gulf into the low then southward into the western Gulf. Another low pressure area is over northeastern Kansas and southeastern Nebraska with a weak cold front extending southwestward through central Oklahoma and west Texas.  As a result of this surface weather pattern, surface winds are mostly light and variable over our area.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere… a trough.. or line.. of upper level low pressure is moving eastward through the northern and central plains and into the Mississippi Valley. As a result, winds over south central Texas and the Austin metro area about 18,000 feet above the ground are northwesterly 25 to 35 mph.

The dry and stable weather pattern prevails across the area.

By Thursday into Friday, with surface high pressure well to the east, a south southeasterly surface wind will become reestablished across the area with an increase in low level moisture.

By Saturday night into early Sunday, a east southeastward moving cold front will move through Texas with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms across the area. Forecast rainfall amounts have increased to between 1 and 1 1/2 inch locally between 7am Saturday and 7pm Sunday.

Once the front passes by mid to late morning Sunday, rain chances and clouds will decrease with plenty of sunshine.. lower humidity and cooler temperatures for Sunday through Sunday night and early next week.

The tropics are quiet with no tropical cyclone development expected over the Atlantic basin over the next 24 hours.

Regarding my forecast, my local forecast confidence: High to very high forecast confidence through the next seven day forecast period.

Have a good Tuesday…
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu

http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

TK’s Austin and South Central Texas Forecast….

by troyk | on Sep 24, 2013 | Comments Off

Updated 845am CDT.. Tuesday / 24 September 2013

TODAY…. Mostly sunny. High 91 to 95. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 64 to 68. North northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 93 to 97. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 65 to 69. Light easterly wind.

THURSDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 93 to 97. Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 68 to 72. Southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY…. Brief morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 93 to 97. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 70 to 74. Southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with a 20% chance of afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms.. rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1/4 inch. High 88 to 92. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with a 40% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms especially after midnight as a cold front approaches.. rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1/4 inch. Low 70 to 74. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY…. A 50% chance of morning rain showers and thunderstorms as the cold front passes.. rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1/2 to 3/4 inch. Decreasing clouds becoming mostly sunny by midday into afternoon. Turning breezy and cooler. High 81 to 85. Southwesterly wind shifting northerly 10 to 20 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. A clear sky. Low 58 to 62. Northerly wind decreasing to 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY…. Sunshine. High 82 to 86. Northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 01 October 2013  through Monday / 07 October 2013…
Temperature… Near Average
Precipitation… Slightly Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (24 September)………………………….. 7:21 am
Sunset this evening (24 September)……………………………. 7:25 pm
Sunrise Wednesday (25 September)…………………………… 7:21 am
Sunset Wednesday (25 September)……………………………. 7:23 pm

TK’s Weather Discussion….

by troyk | on Sep 24, 2013 | Comments Off

Updated 845am CDT Tuesday / 24 September 2013

…. A Dry and Stable Weather Pattern ….
…. A Cold Front Due Late Saturday Night into Early Sunday with a Chance of Rain ….

On this Tuesday morning…. a surface high pressure is centered over the St. Lawrence River Valley and the northeastern USA. A low pressure area is over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico with a stationary front from the northeastern Gulf into the low then southward into the western Gulf. Another low pressure area is over northeastern Kansas and southeastern Nebraska with a weak cold front extending southwestward through central Oklahoma and west Texas.  As a result of this surface weather pattern, surface winds are mostly light and variable over our area.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere… a trough.. or line.. of upper level low pressure is moving eastward through the northern and central plains and into the Mississippi Valley. As a result, winds over south central Texas and the Austin metro area about 18,000 feet above the ground are northwesterly 25 to 35 mph.

The dry and stable weather pattern prevails across the area.

By Thursday into Friday, with surface high pressure well to the east, a south southeasterly surface wind will become reestablished across the area with an increase in low level moisture.

By Saturday night into early Sunday, a east southeastward moving cold front will move through Texas with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms across the area. Once the front passes by mid to late morning Sunday, rain chances and clouds will decrease with plenty of sunshine.. lower humidity and cooler temperatures for Sunday through Sunday night and early next week.

The tropics are quiet with no tropical cyclone development expected over the Atlantic basin over the next 24 hours.

Regarding my forecast, my local forecast confidence: High to very high forecast confidence through the next seven day forecast period.

Have a good Tuesday…
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu

http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel