Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Day: May 8, 2013

TK’s Austin / South Central Texas Forecast

by

Updated 845am CDT.. Wednesday / 8 May 2013

TODAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly to mostly cloudy with isolated afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms.. a less than 20% chance of rain. High 81 to 85. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph. Rainfall.. where it occurs.. will average 1/4 inch.

TONIGHT…. Isolated evening rain showers and thunderstorms.. otherwise partly cloudy early with low clouds developing after 10pm. Low 63 to 67. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

THURSDAY…. Some morning low clouds.. otherwise partly to mostly cloudy with a 20% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. High 81 to 85. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph. Rainfall.. where it occurs.. will average 1/4 inch.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with a 20% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Low 67 to 71. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph. Rainfall.. where it occurs.. will average 1/4 inch.

FRIDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with a 30% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. High 83 to 87. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph. Rainfall.. where it occurs.. will average 1/4 inch.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early with low clouds developing after 10pm. A 50% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Low 65 to 69. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph. Rainfall.. where it occurs.. will average 1/4 to 1/2 inch.

SATURDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly to mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms as a cold front passes in the 4am to 8am time period. High 77 to 81. South southwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph becoming northerly with the cold frontal passage. Rainfall.. where it occurs.. will average 1/4 to 1/2 inch.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy and a little cooler. Low 60 to 64. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 77 to 81. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 55 to 59. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 78 to 82. Northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 56 to 60. Light wind.

TUESDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 79 to 83. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 15 May 2013  through Tuesday / 21 May 2013…
Temperature… Below Average
Precipitation… Near Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (8 May)…………………………… 6:42 am
Sunset this evening (8 May)…………………………….. 8:14 pm
Sunrise Thursday (9 May)……………………………….. 6:41 am
Sunset Thursday (9 May)………………………………… 8:14 pm

TK’s Weather Discussion

by

Updated 845am CDT Wednesday / 8 May 2013

Rain Chances Return by Late Week into the Weekend ….
Another Late Season Cold Front by Early Saturday ….

On this Wednesday morning…. surface high pressure is located from the lower Mississippi Valley and the northern Gulf of Mexico with developing low pressure over the southern Rockies with a cold front extending southwestward from southwest Kansas across the northwest Texas panhandle into southern New Mexico. Given this surface pressure pattern, surface winds are southerly across our area of the state.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere… a strong upper air low pressure area is over Virginia with another one over southern Utah. Between the two.. a weakening ridge of upper air high pressure is located from northeastern Mexico into Texas. Given this upper air pattern, winds over south central Texas and the Austin metro area about 18,000 feet above the ground are west northwesterly 30 to 40 mph.

A more established southerly surface wind has returned as the surface high continues over the southeastern USA. By late week.. another cold front will start southward through the Rockies and plains as the upper low over the Pacific coast moves into the southwestern USA. As our air mass becomes more moist and unstable and as several upper air disturbances approach and move overhead of the area, I’m introducing slim rain shower and thunderstorm chances by later today into tomorrow.

A cold front will move southeastward into Texas late Friday night into Saturday with increased precipitation..  scattered to scattered rain showers and thunderstorms expected. Once the front passes, slightly cooler temperatures along with a more stable air mass will prevail. Another reinforcing cold front will move through the area next Sunday with will act to reinforce the slightly cooler and drier air mass Sunday into the first part of next week.

Rainfall amounts for the coming week and weekend, based upon the latest NWS guidance, will average a very beneficial one to one and a half inches.

Have a good Wednesday Night and Thursday…
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
[email protected]
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel