Daily Archives
May 3, 2012

TK’s Audio Weather Webcast (Thu/3May2012)

by troyk | on May 03, 2012 | Comments Off

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TK’s Austin South Central Texas Forecast (Thu/3May2012)

by troyk | on May 03, 2012 | Comments Off

Updated 130pm CDT.. Thursday / 03 May 2012

TODAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 87 to 91. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy early.. low clouds late. Low 68 to 72. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

FRIDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 87 to 91. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early.. low clouds late. Low 69 to 73. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 89 to 93.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early.. low clouds late. Low 69 to 73.

SUNDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 88 to 92.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early.. low clouds late. Low 69 to 73.

MONDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 87 to 91.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early.. low clouds late. Low 70 to 74.

TUESDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 87 to 91.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early.. low clouds late. A 20% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms after 9pm. Low 69 to 73.

WEDNESDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy and not quite as warm with a 20% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. High 84 to 88.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 9 May 2012 through Tuesday / 15 May 2012…
Temperature… Below Average
Precipitation… Near Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (03 May)…………… 6:47 am
Sunset this evening (03 May)…………….. 8:10 pm
Sunrise Friday (04 May)……………………. 6:45 am
Sunset Friday (04 May)…………………….. 8:11 pm

….AUSTIN AREA POLLEN COUNT….
…RECORDED TUESDAY / 1 MAY 2012…
(Note: This is the most recent report that has been provided.
This count is updated as provided on weekdays only and is
courtesy of Austin Allergy Associates and Dr. T. Ray Vaughn
and Dr. P. Dennis Dyer)

Molds….. 2280 gr/cubic meter (High) – Up Since Last Reading
Grasses….. 0 gr/cubic meter (Low) – Down Since Last Reading
Weeds…… 0 gr/cubic meter (Low) – Down Since Last Reading
…Breakdown of Weeds:
…None Reported …
Trees…… 0 gr/cubic meter (Low) – Down Since Last Reading
…Breakdown of Trees:
…None Reported …

TK’s Weather Discussion (Thu/3May2012)

by troyk | on May 03, 2012 | Comments Off

Updated 130pm CDT Thursday / 03 May 2012

…. A Stable Atmosphere Means Little Chance of Rain ….
…. Late Night and Early Morning Cloudiness with an Otherwise Partly Cloudy Sky ….
…. Watching the Potential for a Cold Front Next Week ….

On this Thursday… surface high pressure is centered over the southwestern north Atlantic Ocean just off the southeastern coast of the USA. A trough.. or line.. of low pressure extending southward from western Kansas into the Oklahoma and Texas panhandles and further south into southwest Texas and northern Mexico. As a result of this surface pressure pattern, a southerly surface wind is blowing across our area.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere, a rather benign zonal (west-to-east) upper level wind flow persists across Texas. There is an upper level low over the Pacific Ocean well west of the Baja Peninsula. As a result of this upper air wind flow, the upper level winds are light to moderate west southwesterly over Texas.

As we’ve seen lately, little change as predicted as the active jet stream pattern remains well to our north with fronts not expected to make much headway southward into Texas through the weekend. Even though there is still considerable uncertainty.. some longer range models and predictions try to bring a cold front southward into Texas by the middle part of next week. I’m now thinking that the front will make it into the area before pulling up stationary overhead or just to our south by late Tuesday night into early Wednesday in the predawn hours. I will keep my slim rain chances for late Tuesday into Wednesday of next week. I’ll continue to monitor in case the rain chances need to be increased. If we can get the mid week front to move through the area, temperatures will be down a few degrees (and a little closer to average) for Wednesday of next week.

Meanwhile, extensive late night and early morning low cloudiness will occur over the coming days with some light drizzle possible along the IH35 corridor. Otherwise expect a partly to mostly cloudy sky. The south southeasterly surface winds will continue with additional  return of low level moisture through the remainder of the week into the weekend with afternoon temperatures continuing above seasonable levels.

My forecast confidence continues high to very high through the week and through the weekend and into Monday. By Tuesday into Wednesday.. in reference to the possible advancement of a cold front into the area and any associated rain chances.. my forecast confidence continues to be medium.

For Austin and south central Texas… tonight will see a partly cloudy sky with low clouds thickening after midnight. Lows around 70. Southerly wind. For tomorrow, it’ll be partly cloudy after morning low clouds. Highs around 90 with a southerly wind.

Have a good Thursday night and Friday…
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel